Continuous-time stochastic processes underlie many natural and engineered systems. In healthcare, autonomous driving, and industrial control, direct interaction with the environment is often unsafe or impractical, motivating offline reinforcement learning from historical data. However, there is limited statistical unde...
Nicolas Hoischen, Petar Bevanda, Max Beier et al.· 0 citations
Second-order methods make fast progress per iteration, but forming and factorizing the Hessian often dominates their wall-clock time. We study \emph{Split-Client}, a task-parallel design in which a curvature client factorizes Hessians in the background while a gradient client takes cubic-regularized steps with the most...
Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in industries that demand interpretability. To mitigate this gap, surrogate models that e...
Bayesian optimal experimental design provides a principled framework for selecting experimental configurations that maximize obtained information. In this work, we consider settings where the likelihood entropy is independent of the design or can be evaluated explicitly, which applies, e.g. to additive noise models wit...
Chuntao Chen, Tapio Helin, Nuutti Hyv\"onen et al.· 0 citations
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Urban microclimate, encompassing wind and temperature fields shaped by building geometry, strongly affects building energy use, pedestrian wind comfort, pollutant dispersion, the urban heat island, and public health. Conventional Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is computationally prohibitive for rapid assessments, w...
Shaoxiang Qin, Theodore Potsis, Dongxue Zhan et al.· 0 citations
This paper proposes a fully data-driven approach for optimal control of nonlinear control-affine systems represented by a stochastic diffusion. The focus is on the scenario where both the nonlinear dynamics and stage cost functions are unknown, while only a control penalty function and constraints are provided. To this...
Nicolas Hoischen, Petar Bevanda, Stefan Sosnowski et al.· 0 citations
Training error is what we can observe on a training set; test error is the quantity we care about. We study squared-error linear regression in a deterministic $(d+1)$-dimensional single-spike model. Each training vector has spike coordinate $\sqrt{\gamma}$, $\gamma>1$, and equal-norm, mutually orthogonal nuisance compo...
Vision-language-action models (VLAs) achieve state-of-the-art performance on many robotic manipulation tasks, yet they can still behave unpredictably in out-of-distribution scenarios. Runtime failure detection is therefore essential for the safe real-world deployment of VLAs.However, existing task failure detectors req...
Understanding the complex topology and hierarchy of urban power grid is crucial for energy prognosis, power flow management, and system resilience analysis. However, detailed grid information remains largely proprietary. This information, nevertheless, is crucial especially for analyzing the last-mile distribution netw...
Shiliang Zhang, Sabita Maharjan, Alexey Vinel et al.· 0 citations
When a learned representation is reused for a new task, which of its structure should survive? A task is a small category, a change of task is a functor $J$, and the invariants of a trained representation form a functor $F$. The left Kan extension $\operatorname{Lan}_JF$ is the invariant that the source and the change...
While deep ensembles are widely considered to be the default method for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, their effectiveness for graph-structured data is often simply assumed based on successes in domains like computer vision. We investigate standard deep ensembles specifically for message-passing graph neu...
Pedro C. Vieira, Viacheslav Borovitskiy, Pedro Ribeiro· 0 citations
A machine-learning approach called CheMeleon provides a practical way to develop new drugs or other molecules with much less detailed, expensive experimentation.
Research Manager Mike Walker reflects on a career spanning hacker culture, cybersecurity, and AI, sharing lessons about trust, teamwork, leadership, and why solving difficult problems requires curiosity, judgment, agility—and an understanding of the rules. The post Learn the rules: The hacker mindset appeared first on Microsoft Research.
Learn how Google Antigravity and our Cheminformatics Skills accelerate drug discovery workflows, search compounds, and propose novel rigidified macrocycles.
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