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#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Event-triggered Control and Online Learning for Networked Systems under Computational Delays

Online learning-based control is a promising approach to control uncertain systems, where unknown components are identified during operation to improve control performance. However, resource-intensive online learning algorithms introduce non-negligible computational delays, especially when executed on systems with limited local computational resources. To mitigate this, an in-network online learning-based control structure is employed by deploying the learning-based controller on a remote computation node and connecting it via a communication channel. In this paper, control performance guarantee is first established by deriving tracking error bound for the in-network control architecture, while accounting for computational delays. The derived tracking error bound allows for diverse communication and computation strategies under a specific condition, including time-/event-triggered mechanisms. Additionally, the trade-off between communication and computation performances is shown for a given desired control performance. Furthermore, to enhance the efficiency in both communication and computation, an efficient control framework with an asynchronous event-triggered mechanism in both control and online learning is devised under the existence of computational delay. The proposed event-triggered strategy is proven to achieve the same control performance as time-triggered scenario while excluding Zeno behavior. Finally, we derive an explicit expression of the proposed event-trigger condition for exponentially stabilizable systems, and demonstrate its effectiveness through simulations.

Xiaobing Dai, Armin Lederer, Zewen Yang et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

HoopMind: A Real-Time Neural Game-Tree System for Opponent-Aware Possession Planning

School coaches prepare for opponents with game film and intuition. The analytics tools of professional teams stay out of reach. We ask how far public data can close this gap. Professional basketball is our case study, chosen for its data rather than the league. We fuse five public sources into one per-shot dataset of 4.23M shots over 21 seasons. The sources are shot locations, two play-by-play feeds, official matchup tracking, and player biometrics. Alignment across them is 99.5% to 100%. We also report two data pitfalls that are easy to miss. We then model a half-court possession as a sequential game. Shot values come from ShotNet, an embedding multilayer perceptron (MLP). On a held-out season it beats a zone-rate baseline and a logistic baseline, and its probabilities are well calibrated. A depth-limited expectimax search then solves the offensive decision tree, with branch-and-bound pruning to keep it real time. All training runs offline, so the online system stays light. A scouting planner and a playable simulator both run in a single browser page.

Yibo Gong, Cong Guo, Jiacheng Ding · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

Asynchronous Cooperative Online Learning for Multi-Robot Control under Computational Delays

Ensuring the safe operation of multi-agent systems (MASs) under uncertain environments is crucial for cooperative robotic, where external disturbances and inaccurate dynamic models can significantly compromise performance and reliability. To address this challenge, calibrated machine learning models, particularly Gaussian process (GP) regression, are extensively employed due to their interpretable performance quantification. As the interconnected communication of MASs facilitates cooperative learning, agents are able to enhance learning performance by exchanging local GP inferences with their neighbors and aggregating the received information via distributed GP strategies. However, variations in computational power and prediction tasks among agents inevitably lead to heterogeneous computational delays and differences in query points, which are often overlooked in existing aggregation methods. To overcome these limitations, this work proposes an asynchronous cooperative learning strategy that explicitly accounts for prediction accuracy, query point variations and delay effects. Additionally, a distributed control law based on an adjoint MAS is developed to ensure the desired control performance. Simulations on unmanned surface vehicles validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach, demonstrating substantial improvements in both learning and control performance compared to the state-of-the-art approaches.

X. Dai, Zewen Yang, Wei Ren et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Which LLM for Which Work? Budgeted Model Allocation under Uncertain Evaluation

A company with a fixed artificial intelligence (AI) budget must decide which large language model (LLM) handles each recurring workload. What it lacks is the quality table, how well each model performs on each workload. Given that table, the decision is a multiple-choice knapsack problem and is routine to solve, so estimating it is the difficulty, and that estimation fails in two ways. Models are rarely compared on the same work, and the recorded score is usually a proxy rather than the outcome the company values. Causal and off-policy methods repair the first but condition on the second, while evaluator-validation methods estimate the second but stop short of the decision. Worse, buying more re-evaluation cannot settle the second: randomization governs which requests are scored, not how a score is produced, so the table stays uncertain however much evaluation is purchased. Yet the deployment decision may still be determined even when the table is not. We therefore ask whether one assignment stays optimal across every quality table consistent with the evidence. For the fixed-budget problem, this admits an exact two-solve certificate: solve once at the estimated table and once at a least-favourable table. Agreement certifies the assignment; disagreement identifies the model-workload pairs where further evidence can matter. We propose CASE (causal active sequential experimentation), which targets evaluation to those pairs and repeats the test as evidence accumulates. On a production log, the measurement failure is the larger of the two: correcting assignment exactly still leaves most of the loss, and randomized re-evaluation does not remove it. In our experiments, the available evidence often does not determine the assignment. On paid software tasks, better information about model quality yields more savings than further optimization of the assignment on the same estimates.

Hamed Khosravi, Xiaoming Huo · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

BEACON: Behavioral and Semantic Enrichment of AlphaEarth Embeddings through Tri-Modal Contrastive Learning

Geospatial foundation models such as the AlphaEarth Foundation produce compact and globally consistent representations of the Earth's surface that transfer effectively to a wide range of downstream tasks. However, because these models are trained primarily on Earth-observation imagery, their embeddings mainly capture physical and spectral characteristics while encoding human activity and urban function only weakly. To address this limitation, we propose BEACON, a tri-modal contrastive learning framework that aligns three complementary views of urban space: physical representations from AE embeddings, semantic representations from point-of-interest (POI) text, and human behavioral representations from hourly POI visitation, while keeping the deployed representation image-only. Using the Houston Metropolitan Area as a case study area, we evaluated the performance of the BEACON framework on nine downstream tasks, including seven regression and two classification tasks against six baselines (raw coordinates, Space2Vec, SatCLIP, TESSERA, Clay and AlphaEarth), using frozen linear and MLP probes over five seeds. Under a linear probe, BEACON improves relative R^2 over AlphaEarth by up to 43% for obesity prevalence, 34% for poor mental health, and 22% for median household income, while remaining competitive in the prediction of physical and environmental variables. These findings highlight the value of augmenting geospatial foundation models with semantic and behavioral signals, extending their applicability from physical Earth observation to human-centered urban analytics.

Hao Tian, Heng Cai, Yifan Yang · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

MedCache: Efficient and Temporally Valid Memory for Longitudinal Clinical Agents

Longitudinal clinical agents must maintain an evolving patient state from evidence distributed across visits, time points, and specialties. However, how agent memory should be designed for this setting remains unclear. We introduce a benchmark of multi-visit, multi-specialty patient records that evaluates long-context evidence retrieval, cross-time evidence aggregation, and cross-specialty clinical reasoning. Using this benchmark, we systematically study four memory design choices: curation, organization, retrieval, and memory-augmented reasoning. We find that temporal validity is more important than simply retaining more history; specialty-factorized memory reduces context but can hide shared evidence; and multiple agents help when specialists must reason together, not merely when evidence comes from multiple memories. Guided by these findings, we propose \textit{MedCache}, a hybrid framework that constructs temporally valid patient memory, organizes evidence into overlapping specialty views, routes each query to relevant memories, and adaptively invokes one or multiple specialists. Experiments show that MedCache improves reasoning accuracy and memory efficiency over strong single-agent and multi-agent baselines, while generalizing across model backbones and external datasets.

Hei Ting (Una), Chan, Chenwei Wu et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

On the Plasticity Collapse in Continual Machine Unlearning

Machine unlearning enables deep neural networks to selectively remove the influence of specific data in response to privacy and regulatory requirements. While prior work largely studies single-shot unlearning, real-world systems must accommodate continual unlearning, where multiple unlearning requests occur sequentially over time. In this work, we identify a fundamental limitation of this setting: plasticity collapse, a progressive breakdown in a model's ability to effectively forget. Through theoretical analysis of continual unlearning dynamics, we show that continual unlearning operations accumulate geometric constraints in parameter space, leading to saturated subspaces that restrict future updates. This structural effect induces two distinct failure modes: (1) Forward failure -- diminishing forgetting quality for subsequent tasks, and (2) Backward failure -- spontaneous re-memorization of previously forgotten information. Extensive experiments across multiple architectures, datasets, and methods in image classification confirm that plasticity collapse is not an artifact of specific implementations, but a pervasive phenomenon inherent to continual unlearning. Our findings reveal a critical barrier to the long-term reliability of machine unlearning systems and motivate the development of plasticity-preserving unlearning algorithms. Our code is available at https://github.com/TIML-Group/Continual-Machine-Unlearning-Plasticity-Collapse

Yingdan Shi, Xiang Xu, Kaize Ding et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Denoising as Projection: Constrained Optimization with Gradient-Guided Diffusion

Diffusion models are increasingly used not only for sampling from learned data distributions, but also for generating samples that optimize task-specific objectives. A common approach is to guide the reverse diffusion process using gradients of an external objective. However, when the data distribution is supported on a structured feasible set, such as a manifold or a constraint set, gradient guidance can move samples away from the learned data geometry. In this paper, we study a simple projected-gradient-guided diffusion update based on the observation that the Stein denoising operator can act as an approximate projection onto the data geometry. The proposed update incorporates the objective gradient inside the denoising step, yielding an inference-time method that uses only a pretrained denoiser and gradient evaluations. We analyze this update as an inexact projected-gradient method for constrained optimization over learned feasible geometries. Our theory covers three settings: linear manifolds, compact convex feasible sets, and compact Riemannian submanifolds. In all these settings, we prove descent and finite-time convergence guarantees. Numerical experiments support the theoretical interpretation and illustrate how the proposed update balances objective descent with preservation of the learned geometry.

Runyu Zhang, Jiawei Zhang, Gioele Zardini et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Review Aug 2026

Adversarial Online Classification with a Preview

Worst-case online classification is governed by sequential complexity, such as Littlestone dimension, and can be impossible even for statistically simple classes, such as thresholds of VC dimension one. We study a preview model in which an oblivious adversary fixes an entire labeled sequence of length $T$, a uniformly random subset of size $pT$ is revealed before prediction begins, and the remaining $(1-p)T$ examples are then presented in their original adversarial order. Against the best full-sequence hypothesis evaluated on the unrevealed examples, we characterize the dependence on the preview rate $p$: for binary classes of VC dimension $d$, the optimal excess loss is $\Theta(d/p+\sqrt{dT})$, up to the trivial cap at $T$; for multiclass classes we obtain the corresponding $\widetilde O(d_{\rm DS}/p+\sqrt{d_{\rm Nat}T})$ bound with no dependence on the number of labels. Thus a random preview can replace worst-case sequential complexity by classical statistical dimensions without randomizing the online order. To achieve the sharp binary bound, our ChainedPrediction algorithm uses an online analogue of chaining, implemented as a multiscale aggregation algorithm rather than only as an analytic argument.

Roi Livni, Sahil Singla · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Target-Aware State-Adaptive $p$-Dirichlet Graph Neural Regression for Non-Invasive Body-Composition Estimation

Accurate estimation of body-composition outcomes, including body fat percentage (BFP), bone mineral density (BMD), and appendicular lean mass (ALM), is important for evaluating metabolic, skeletal, and muscular health. Direct assessment using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), however, requires specialized equipment and involves ionizing radiation. We propose a target-aware, state-adaptive $p$-Dirichlet energy-flow graph neural regression ($p$SADE-GNR) framework for estimating these outcomes from non-invasive anthropometric measurements. A neural encoder maps participant representations to hidden states that are propagated over an outcome-specific participant-similarity graph by a state-adaptive forward-Euler discretization of the graph $p$-Dirichlet energy flow. Graph distances weight each original or latent coordinate by its normalized absolute training-fold correlation with the outcome. Using clinical data from the Pennington Biomedical Research Center and five-fold cross-validation, the correlation-weighted model using the original standardized measurements achieved the lowest root mean squared error in all nine primary outcome-cohort combinations and outperformed previously reported support vector regression or least-squares support vector regression reference values in eight of nine comparisons. Autoencoder, variational-autoencoder, and Gaussian-mixture variational-autoencoder representations generally did not improve primary-outcome prediction or reduce computational cost. In an exploratory age-prediction analysis including ALM, BMD, and BFP as predictors, the correlation-weighted GMVAE model achieved the lowest mean error in all three cohorts. These results support target-aware, state-adaptive $p$-Dirichlet graph neural regression for non-invasive body-composition estimation.

Nadejda Drenska, Matthew Lemoine, Gowri Priya Sunkara et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Learning Human Health and Diseases from 24-hour Wrist Movement

Much of human health and function unfolds beyond the clinic, through the movements of everyday life. Wrist-worn accelerometers capture these movements continuously, yet their rich signals are often reduced to a small set of predefined behavioural summary measures. Here, we present Sensori, a self-supervised foundation model that learns general-purpose health representations directly from 24 hours of raw tri-axial wrist movement. We developed and evaluated the model across four population-based cohorts from the United Kingdom, China and the United States, comprising 122,640 participants contributing 683,617 person-days of free-living recordings. Sensori condensed each day of movement into a representation that captured diverse movement behaviours, demographic characteristics, health axes and physical function. Evaluation in independent cohorts showed that these representations generalised across populations and measurement settings without retraining. When added to common clinical covariates, Sensori significantly improved prevalent disease classification for 52 of 102 eligible conditions (median delta AUROC, 0.060; range, 0.012-0.242) and incident disease risk prediction for 26 of 87 eligible conditions (median delta Uno's C-index, 0.064; range, 0.025-0.172), with the largest gains for neurological and psychiatric disorders. These findings establish 24-hour wrist movement as a rich and scalable source of health information, with the potential to support passive health monitoring and disease prediction at population scale.

Yong Wang, Dylan McGagh, Katya Broomberg et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Knowledge Distillation under Teacher Misspecification: An Order-Parameter Analysis of the Gap between Teacher Mimicry and Task Performance

Knowledge distillation trains a small student model to reproduce the outputs of a large teacher model, and its progress is typically monitored through the teacher--student discrepancy. The quantity of ultimate interest, however, is the student's error with respect to the true task. We study the relation between these two objectives in a minimal three-party model, a true teacher (generative model), a teacher, and a student, all soft committee machines, in which the true teacher contains a shared latent factor that the teacher cannot represent, with mismatch strength controlled by a single scalar $\dmiss$. Within an order-parameter description of online distillation, and exploiting closed-form (arcsine-type) expressions for all errors under error-function activations, we prove that the learning dynamics and the distillation error $\Ets$ are exactly invariant to $\dmiss$, whereas the true error $\Etzs$ and the gap $\Delta=\Etzs-\Ets$ are strictly increasing in $\dmiss$, with a rate that is amplified linearly by the complexity $M_0$ of the true teacher. Numerical phase diagrams over the plane spanned by true-teacher complexity and student capacity confirm the predicted deformation: the contours of $\Ets$ do not move while the landscape of $\Etzs$ rises systematically, and a teacher-miss regime, where mimicry succeeds but the task fails, expands with $\dmiss$. The results give a quantitative warning against evaluating distillation solely through teacher-mimicry metrics and identify the gap $\Delta$ as a minimal diagnostic for distinguishing teacher-miss from capacity-limited failure.

Kazuyuki Hara, Hideitsu Hino · 0 citations

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MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Aug 27, 2026

Looking beyond natural sequences

A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.