TFPI-high myofibroblast states and a meta-program-related five-gene prognostic signature in breast cancer.

Abstract

Intratumoral heterogeneity and tumor-microenvironment interactions limit prognostic stratification in breast cancer, but the prognostic relevance and cellular context of recurrent transcriptional meta-programs remain unclear. We aimed to derive a meta-program-related prognostic signature and characterize its component transcripts at single-cell resolution. Six paired institutional tumors and adjacent non-tumor tissues served as a proof-of-concept comparison. Univariable Cox screening and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression were used to derive a five-gene score from a prespecified meta-program-related candidate set in The Cancer Genome Atlas Breast Invasive Carcinoma (TCGA-BRCA) training cohort; the score was tested internally and assessed in GSE20685 using fixed coefficients and cohort-specific median cutoffs. GSE161529 single-cell transcriptomic data were used to map signature transcripts across 136,526 quality-controlled cells, while donor-aware pseudobulk analysis compared upper- and lower-quartile TFPI expression states in annotated myofibroblasts. The score comprised TCN1, FOXJ1, PIGR, SLAIN1, and TFPI and was associated with overall survival in the training, testing, and external cohorts, with concordance indices of 0.782, 0.756, and 0.721, respectively. TFPI transcripts were detected across endothelial, fibroblast, and myofibroblast compartments. TFPI-high myofibroblasts showed transcriptional enrichment of extracellular matrix and collagen fibril organization, transforming growth factor beta signaling, epithelial-mesenchymal transition, and myogenesis, together with lower oxidative phosphorylation and fatty acid metabolism programs. In bulk TCGA-BRCA tissue, TFPI expression correlated positively with stromal (r = 0.48), immune (r = 0.25), and composite microenvironment scores (r = 0.40; all p < 0.001). These findings identify a hypothesis-generating five-gene bulk-tissue prognostic signature and an expression-associated TFPI-high myofibroblast state but do not establish a discrete lineage, the cellular source of bulk TFPI, a TFPI-dependent mechanism, or clinical utility. Independent prospective cohorts, spatial and protein-level validation, and functional perturbation studies are required.