The optimal-transport cartogram: world population as a Brenier map

Abstract

A contiguous cartogram is a map whose area is proportional to a quantity such as population. The defining condition, that the Jacobian determinant of the deformation equals the density, is one equation for two unknown functions, so every cartogram method adds a tie-breaker, usually implicitly. Optimal transport makes the tie-breaker explicit: among all density-equalising maps of the frame onto itself, take the one that moves the population least in the mean-square sense. By Brenier's theorem that map is the gradient of a convex potential, so it has no local rotation anywhere and cannot fold. We compute this map for the world population of 2025 on a 4096 by 4096 Mercator grid (10 km cells) from the GHS-POP raster, using the fixed-point Monge-Amp\`ere iteration of Benamou, Froese and Oberman with spectral Poisson solves, continuation in the population share and an ocean-only buffer, on a laptop GPU. Against a Gastner-Newman diffusion cartogram of the same density we find the same transport cost to within 0.4 per cent and density errors of a few per cent for both, but a median local rotation of 8.8 degrees for diffusion against 0.01 for transport, and a median anisotropy of 6.30 against 3.93. The construction extends to local refinement, by transporting a city's 100 m population onto the area measure the global map assigns to it, and to a semi-discrete counterpart: 8,192 Laguerre cells of 1.00 million people each. Code, data provenance and every figure's inputs are public.