Climate Change, Urbanization, and the Emerging Urban Threat of Rift Valley Fever in Tropical and Subtropical Cities: A Narrative Review

Abstract

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a climate-sensitive mosquito-borne zoonosis long regarded as a rural, pastoral disease, yet accelerating tropical urbanization and intensifying climate variability may be reshaping its epidemiology at the urban–peri-urban interface. This narrative review examines how global climate change and urban-specific climatic conditions jointly shape RVF virus (RVFV) vector habitats, transmission, and burden in tropical and subtropical cities, synthesizing 51 of 412 English-language records identified by a structured, non-systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar (2009–2026) and selected for relevance to urban and peri-urban RVF. This research draws on human, livestock, and vector evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, and Indian Ocean islands across epidemic and inter-epidemic periods. The synthesis indicates that impervious surfaces, poor drainage, and open water storage can recreate the water-retaining function of rural dambos, sustaining a year-round larval habitat, and that Culex quinquefasciatus dominance together with peri-urban cattle may form an amplification bridge to humans. Direct evidence remains scarce, anchored by a single peri-urban serosurvey and limited urban slaughterhouse entomology. Critical gaps include urban primary-vector ecology, infection-rate data, urban-heat effects, city-specific exposure studies, and coupled climate–urban burden models. We conclude that RVF is a plausible emerging urban threat warranting proactive inter-epidemic surveillance and integration of RVF into urban planning and One Health systems.