A Framework for Object-Centric Predictive Monitoring of Collaborative Processes

Abstract

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) of collaborative, inter-organizational processes requires reasoning over multiple interdependent entities, including participants, messages, local executions, and the global collaboration case. Existing approaches extend traditional event logs with collaboration attributes but retain a single-case perspective, leaving much of this structure implicit. Object-centric process mining (OCPM) provides an alternative by representing these entities as first-class objects with explicit relations and multiple notions of case. This study connects collaborative PPM and OCPM through three contributions: (i) a formal semantic mapping from extended collaborative event logs to an OCED-conformant object-centric representation, serialized in OCEL 2.0; (ii) a reformulation of collaborative prediction tasks as object-centric prediction tasks; and (iii) a reproducible converter and prediction pipeline implementing the proposed mapping. We evaluate the framework on four public collaborative event logs and a fifth derived from the BPI Challenge 2013 incident-management log by executing the fourteen reformulated tasks using five predictive strategies across tabular, sequential, and graph-native encodings. We further discuss the benefits, limitations, and threats to the approach's validity. The representation makes collaboration structure explicit and makes it natural to state prediction targets based on object relations that fall outside the case-centric taxonomy, at the cost of increased relational complexity and dependence on object-centric tooling.