Adaptive Confidence-Weighted Expansion for Trustworthy Multi-omics Multimodal Fusion

Abstract

Multimodal learning is a robust approach to improve predictive performance in applications such as medical prognosis. However, the clinical applicability of models that use multimodal learning is hampered by their poor performance under noisy or uninformative data streams. Present fusion approaches often lack robust mechanisms for the dynamic assessment of data quality and for the provision of a trustable confidence score on the final prediction. This dissuades their deployment in safety-critical settings. To address these limitations, we introduce Adaptive Confidence-weighted Expansion (ACE), a novel framework to enhance the trustworthiness of multimodal fusion models. ACE first enhances the multimodal space by generating new, complementary modalities from intra-modality correlations. It then employs a dual-level confidence mechanism that (1) adaptively reweighs all modalities by their reliability before fusion and (2) estimates a global trust score over the fused, final decision. To evaluate ACE, we used four challenging multi-omics datasets (BRCA, KIPAN, LGG, and ROSMAP). ACE significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art algorithms in both classification performance and confidence calibration. Our framework provides a more stable and robust data fusion method that facilitates the use of multimodal learning in addressing high-stakes problems.