Skip to content
#diffusion models Review Open access

The Cartography of Contagion: A Narrative Review of Medical Geography from Snow's Cholera Map to Networked Epidemics

Aug 2026 · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

Abstract

Medical geography---the study of where disease occurs and why place matters to health---began with a map: John Snow's 1855 tracing of cholera's deaths to the Broad Street pump, the field's founding demonstration that contagion has an address. This article presents a narrative review of that arc's canonical line: Snow's 1855 On the Mode of Communication of Cholera, May's 1958 The Ecology of Human Disease, Learmonth's 1988 Disease Ecology, Cliff and Haggett's 1988 Atlas of Disease Distributions, Gould's 1993 The Slow Plague, Smallman-Raynor and Cliff's 2004 War Epidemics, Haggett's 2000 The Geographical Structure of Epidemics, Meade and Earickson's 2000 Medical Geography, Mayer's 2000 essay on emerging infections, Ostfeld, Keesing, and Eviner's 2008 Infectious Disease Ecology, Keeling and Rohani's 2008 Modeling Infectious Diseases, and Brockmann and Helbing's 2013 hidden geometry of networked contagion. The review is organized around three themes: origin, in which Snow's mapping established place's causal role; diffusion, in which the waves' and hierarchies' and war's structures of epidemic spread were mapped; and synthesis, in which ecology's, modeling's, and network science's frameworks unified the field. It is concluded that medical geography is epidemiology's spatial conscience---the discipline that remembers every epidemic is also a map---and that its methods now run the world's outbreak responses.

View source

Similar papers

#diffusion models Review Open access Sep 2026

Modelling the impact of temperature on nanocarrier behavior: Thermodynamics, structural transitions, and drug release.

A rational design for next-generation thermo-responsive nanocarriers is proposed, in which polymer chemistry, nanoparticle structure, experimental characterization, and mechanistic modelling are integrated from the earliest stages of material development.

M. Schifone, Giuseppe Nunziata, Filippo Rossi · 2 citations

Modeling Environmentally Driven Seasonal Moisture Migration and Ground Movements in Expansive Clays

This paper describes the formulation of a numerical model for simulating environmentally driven one-dimensional (1D) ground movements of expansive clay. The formulation is based on a finite-element model that simulates the redistribution of matric suction through a diffusion-type equation, explicitly accounting for volume changes due to wetting and drying of the clay. We synthesize and modify highly nonlinear constitutive relationships for (1) hysteretic soil water retention; (2) reversible soil shrinkage and expansion of clay; and (3) hydraulic conductivity, explicitly incorporating desiccation cracks through a multidomain framework and assuming a critical surface crack depth. These models are well-calibrated to published laboratory tests on a reference expansive clay, Denver bentonite. We demonstrate capabilities of the proposed formulation to simulate the response of a homogeneous expansive clay to periods of drying and wetting, considering the initial matric suction, saturated hydraulic conductivity of the intact clay, and critical crack depth as three primary sources of uncertainty. We compare ensemble model simulations with measured ground movements from an instrumented expansive clay test site in Texas over a 3-year period using detailed records of potential evapotranspiration and precipitation. By assigning weights to the ensemble simulations based on their performance, we constrain the ranges of the three key uncertain parameters. The results showed very reasonable first-order agreement with the measured data and highlight the potential of the proposed formulation. We anticipate that more reliable predictions can be achieved through direct measurements of actual in situ evaporation rates and local soil properties.

Mahdi Seyyedan, Jiali Ma, Ivo Rosa Montenegro et al. · 1 citation
#diffusion models Open access Aug 2026

Cross-Asset Shock Diffusion: A Reproducible Test of Residual Underreaction, Shock Coherence, and Trading Economics

This paper examines whether differences in the speed with which traded assets respond to a common market shock can predict subsequent relative returns. The framework combines a lagged rolling factor model with Absorption Gap (AG), which measures an asset’s response error, and Shock Coherence (SC), which characterizes the contemporaneous market state. The public specification is evaluated using executable next-open timing, explicit transaction costs, dependence-aware inference, randomized-signal benchmarks, chronological diagnostics, and machine-learning extensions. The study uses 24 ETFs from 4 January 2010 through 28 August 2026, with eight factor proxies excluded from the 16-asset traded cross-section. The corrected public baseline produces a combined Rank IC of -0.00592, an approximately flat zero-cost gross result, and materially negative performance after transaction costs. A within-date randomized-signal benchmark yields an empirical two-sided p-value of 0.299, while standalone Absorption Gap, coherence-conditioned tests, chronological subsamples, and machine-learning models provide no robust evidence of economically viable public alpha. The contribution is therefore methodological as much as empirical: the paper connects an economic hypothesis about heterogeneous information absorption to an executable trading test, documents why the disclosed implementation fails, separates diagnostic and exploratory analysis from confirmatory evidence, and establishes a reproducible public baseline while keeping the proprietary alpha layer outside the evidence package.

Khaybullina Alina · 0 citations

Related blog posts

Microsoft Research Blog Aug 31, 2026

GigaPath-Flash and GigaTIME-Flash: Toward population-scale discovery with efficient pathology foundation models

What if pathology foundation models could do more with less? GigaPath-Flash and GigaTIME-Flash cut computational demands while maintaining strong performance, opening the door to larger studies and broader exploration. The post GigaPath-Flash and GigaTIME-Flash: Toward population-scale discovery with efficient pathology foundation models appeared first on Microsoft Research.