Skip to content
Open access

Global satellite analysis reveals landslide susceptibility peaks at intermediate vegetation density

Aug 2026 · iScience · Vol 29, pp. 117271 · 0 citations · 85 references
Medicine

Abstract

Summary Landslide hazard models worldwide assume that vegetation stabilizes slopes monotonically, so that denser vegetation always implies greater stability. Analyzing 12,459 rainfall-triggered landslides (2000–2024) with multi-source satellite data, we find a “vegetation paradox”: landslide susceptibility does not decline monotonically with vegetation density but peaks within a critical transition zone (CTZ) at NDVI, 0.769–0.868—a unimodal, non-monotonic pattern. This zone concentrates 23.0% of the full 18,028-event inventory (33.2% of the 12,459 analyzed with reliable NDVI) and persists across biomes, climate zones, and slope classes (16.7%–44.5% CTZ prevalence across the gentle-to-steep range), and its upper boundary is stable across data-quality filtering, density smoothing, and simulated sensor noise. An independent grid-based Random Forest (R2 = 0.446) independently places this maximum within the CTZ (mean NDVI, 0.860) without histogram binning; its coarse grid, however, captures only the rising limb and cannot resolve the decline above the CTZ.

Read PDF

Similar papers

Review Open access Oct 2026

Modelling and Discussion of Landslide Spatial Patterns and Hydrological Controls in the Southern Babor Mountains

Landslide susceptibility assessment is critical in the mountainous terrains of northern Algeria, where weak marly formations, active tectonics, and seasonally concentrated rainfall converge to produce recurrent slope instability. This study develops a locally calibrated susceptibility assessment for the Amoucha sector...

Riheb Hadji, Djamel Abbas, Matteo Gentilucci et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Different triggering mechanisms make grasslands more susceptible to clustered landslides than forests under extreme rainfall on the loess plateau.

Under extreme rainfall and vegetation restoration, clustered shallow landslides have occurred in some watersheds on the Loess Plateau. Accurately assessing landslide probability and understanding vegetation effects are critical for hazard prevention. Using an improved SINMAP model with two topographic wetness condition...

Yang-Guang Xu, Li Luo, Wen-Zhao Guo et al. · 0 citations
Sep 2026

Synchronized declines in global Landsat cloud occurrence probability and area.

Cloud cover impacts Earth's radiation budget as both a cause and an effect of climate change. While long-term satellite observations are vital for climate studies, existing products are limited by coarse resolutions that fail to capture fine-scale cloud heterogeneity. Despite the five-decade Landsat archive, global...

Yin Yang, Peng Li, Suresh Chand Rai et al. · 0 citations
Open access Oct 2026

NDVI-Detected Vegetation Dynamics, Spatial Morphology and Fixed-Population Co-Location Proxies in Riyadh Governorate, Saudi Arabia, 2018–2026: A Multimetric Framework for Urban and Cultural-Landscape Monitoring

This study examines January–March Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)-detected vegetation, its spatial morphology and its co-location with a fixed population surface in Riyadh Governorate, Saudi Arabia, for 2018–2026. Seasonal Sentinel-2 Level-2A median composites were thresholded at NDVI 0.20, 0.30 and 0.40...

F. M. Alotaibi, I. Andronache, I. Liritzis · 0 citations
Open access Oct 2026

Increasing Extreme Negative Vegetation Responses to Drought-Related Compound Events.

Vegetation growth is increasingly threatened by both extreme climate events and anthropogenic disturbances. Although considerable attention has been given to detecting large-scale vegetation anomalies, comprehensive analyses of the spatiotemporal dynamics of negative extreme anomalies in vegetation growth (NEGs) and th...

Hao-Xiang Zhao, Jing-Feng Xiao, Wei Li et al. · 0 citations

We use cookies to run the site and, with your consent, for analytics and to show ads. See our Cookie Policy.