Impact of agricultural greening on food production resilience-empirical evidence from China

Abstract

The Food Production System is generally confronted with external uncertain shocks and rigid constraints from ecological factors. How to strengthen the system’s adaptability and resilience through green transition pathways is a crucial research topic in the field of modern agricultural governance. With the provincial panel data from China, the entropy method is adopted in this paper to measure agricultural greening and food production resilience, and then the two-way fixed-effect model, the moderating-effect model, the threshold-effect model and spatial econometric models are applied for empirical testing. According to the results, the degree of agricultural greening has promoted food production resilience; at the same time, regions show heterogeneity across geographical regions and grain functional zones. Green finance and rural scientific and technological input will also be effective driving forces. There is a single threshold for economic development level; after exceeding it, the marginal promoting effect on resilience weakens, but remains significantly positive. Food production resilience also exhibits significant spatial dependence, and agricultural greening generates positive spillover effects on neighboring provinces under the adjacency-based spatial specification. This paper will provide new ideas for the theory of resilience enhancement and offer some references to help optimize the distribution of agricultural green factors and foster long-term stable grain production.