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Oct 2026
Robust increase in extreme future precipitation in the Lake Victoria Basin based on km-scale regional climate projections
Long multi-decadal transient convection-permitting climate simulations are crucial for reliable regional climate projections. However, the large computational resources required are often not available, particularly in the context of African climate change studies. This poses challenges for regions like the Lake Vict...
Elizabeth Sunguti, Jonas Van de Walle, W. Thiery et al.
· Journal of Climate · 0 citations
Open access
Sep 2026
Climatology and trends of extreme precipitation in France: evaluation of an explicit-convection regional climate model
Climate change is intensifying the global water cycle, with extreme precipitation events increasing in frequency and intensity at the global scale. While trends in daily precipitation extremes are well-documented, sub-daily extremes – critical for flash flood risk – remain poorly characterized, due to limited long-term...
Nicolas Decoopman, Juliette Blanchet, Antoine Blanc et al.
· Hydrology and Earth System S... · 0 citations
Aug 2026
Significant Latitude‐Dependent Sensitivity of Cloud Vertical Distribution to Surface Temperature Anomalies
Changes in the vertical distributions of cloud fraction (CF) and cloud phase (CP) are robust signatures of climate change and directly influence atmospheric heating rates, planetary energy budget and hydrological cycle. However, the global sensitivities of CF and CP profiles to surface temperature (ST) change remain po...
Wei-Yuan Zhang, Jiming Li, Sihang Xu et al.
· Journal of Geophysical Resea... · 0 citations
Open access
Sep 2026
Dynamic amplification of future extreme precipitation in East Asia in high-resolution climate models
Extreme precipitation over East Asia is projected to intensify in the future at a rate greater than that expected from temperature-based scaling. However, substantial uncertainty remains in projections of extreme precipitation at regional scales. Using four high-resolution climate models under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, we...
Young-Ha Kim, Seok-Geun Oh, Xi-Hui Gu et al.
· Environmental Research: Clim... · 0 citations
Open access
Aug 2026
Changes in the tropical rainfall seasonal cycle dominated by mesoscale convective systems
Global warming is reorganizing atmospheric circulation and hydroclimate, and tropical rainfall is a key manifestation of this response. Yet how these large-scale changes are translated into the tropical rainfall seasonal cycle remains uncertain because organized convection, which produces a large fraction of tropical r...
Xiao-Jie Guo, Guang-Xing Lin, F. Song et al.
· Nature Geoscience · 0 citations
Open access
Aug 2026
Sensitivity to climate Delta selection in Pseudo-global warming simulations of mesoscale convective systems: case study of the august 2022 event in northern Japan
The pseudo-global warming (PGW) method is widely used to examine climate-change impacts on heavy rainfall. However, the thermodynamic variables selected as climate deltas in PGW experiments often differ among studies and are determined subjectively. This study investigates how different selections and combinations of c...
Ryotaro Tahara, Yusuke Hiraga
· Frontiers in Climate · 0 citations