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Preprint Aug 2026

Randomization tests for model specification in causal inference under network interference

Analysis of experimental data becomes challenging when the underlying population is connected by a network. Exposure mapping is a common tool in the literature for defining and estimating spillover effects. These mappings reduce the dimensionality of the estimand, thereby facilitating identifiability. It is assumed tha...

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Preprint Aug 2026

Endogenous Selection and Spillovers: Bayesian Inference for Policy-Relevant Causal Effects

This paper develops a new econometric framework to identify and estimate policy-relevant causal effects in contexts with endogenous selection into treatment and spillovers within single large networks or spatial settings. Conventional causal inference methods relying on either unconfoundedness or no-interference assump...

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