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Frugal Bayesian Optimization: Scalable Surrogates for Data- and Resource-Limited Discovery

Jul 2026 · arXiv.org · Vol abs/2607.29225 · 1 citation · 70 references
Computer Science Physics

TL;DR

A surrogate-recommendation framework is introduced that predicts the most suitable BO surrogate from inexpensive dataset characteristics and establishes FruBO as a reproducible, compute-aware baseline for Bayesian Optimization and provides practical guidance for surrogate selection under limited computational and experimental budgets.

Abstract

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is widely adopted for data-efficient optimization in scientific and engineering applications, yet its computational cost is rarely evaluated alongside optimization performance. Here we present a systematic, compute-aware study of BO that evaluates surrogate models along two axes: optimization quality and computational frugality. Across eight benchmark functions and nine real-world datasets spanning materials science, mechanics, robotics, chemistry, and machine learning, we benchmark four surrogate models: Gaussian Processes, Random Forests, NGBoost, and Bayesian Adaptive Spline Surfaces. We show that Gaussian Process-based BO consistently incurs the highest time and memory overhead without delivering superior optimization or sample efficiency. In contrast, scalable alternatives achieve equal or better performance at a fraction of the computational cost. Motivated by these findings, we introduce a surrogate-recommendation framework that predicts the most suitable BO surrogate from inexpensive dataset characteristics. Together, these results establish FruBO as a reproducible, compute-aware baseline for Bayesian Optimization and provide practical guidance for surrogate selection under limited computational and experimental budgets.

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