This review constructs an explicit conceptual framework integrating cross-scale defense mechanisms—mechanistically linking molecular signal transduction and post-transcriptional regulation to cellular homeostasis and field-scale yield stability—and spotlight the emerging integration of machine learning-assisted breeding and genomic prediction for the efficient evaluation of superior germplasms.
Abstract
Climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme temperatures pose severe threats to global agricultural productivity, making the breeding of water-efficient crops a critical imperative. Originating from arid regions, foxtail millet serves as an ideal C4 model crop for elucidating plant adaptations to water deficits. Unlike previous reviews that often isolate genomic features from physiological responses, this review constructs an explicit conceptual framework integrating cross-scale defense mechanisms—mechanistically linking molecular signal transduction and post-transcriptional regulation to cellular homeostasis and field-scale yield stability. We first detail the developmental stage-specific physiological penalties of water stress and dissect proactive water-conservation strategies, including stomatal anatomical optimization, root-carbon reallocation, and dynamic rhizosphere remodeling. At the genetic level, we highlight the application of dynamic quantitative trait loci (QTL) mapping, which transcends the static limitations of conventional QTLs by capturing the spatiotemporal evolution of drought-tolerance traits across distinct developmental nodes. To bridge the gap between intrinsic genetic potential and field application, we spotlight the emerging integration of machine learning-assisted breeding and genomic prediction for the efficient evaluation of superior germplasms. Across this framework, several persistent gaps emerge: most drought-responsive genes identified in foxtail millet remain at the level of expression association without functional validation; dynamic QTL analysis remains underutilized relative to its capacity to resolve reproductive-stage drought tolerance; and ML-based genomic prediction, though demonstrated in this species, has not been integrated into operational breeding. Closing these gaps will require connecting high-throughput field phenotyping to genomic selection and deploying functionally validated editing targets in genetic backgrounds relevant to dryland production.
Drought constitutes one of the most pervasive abiotic constraints limiting global crop productivity, with its frequency and intensity projected to increase substantially under ongoing climate change. This narrative review synthesises contemporary evidence on the genetic, physiological, and agronomic dimensions of droug...
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