Machine Learning Prediction and Interpretation of Soil−Water Characteristic Curves of Biochar-Amended Soils

Abstract

Biochar is a porous, carbon-rich soil amendment that can enhance soil water retention capacity by modifying pore structure and physicochemical properties. Understanding the soil−water characteristic curve (SWCC) of biochar-amended soils is essential for evaluating their hydrological behavior and promoting the application of biochar in engineering practice. Given the demonstrated feasibility and accuracy of machine learning methods for predicting soil parameters, this study employed six machine learning models, namely, decision tree, random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and artificial neural network, to predict the SWCC of biochar-amended soils based on a constructed dataset. Feature importance analysis and partial dependence analysis were further conducted to reveal the influence patterns of key variables. The results indicate that all six models exhibit good predictive capability, with gradient boosting models (XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM) performing best. Suction is the dominant factor controlling the volumetric water content variation, while soil particle-size distribution and dry density provide the physical basis for water retention. Biochar content, pyrolysis temperature, and feedstock type further modulate the water retention capacity of amended soils. Overall, the findings demonstrate that machine learning approaches can effectively predict the SWCC of biochar-amended soils and provide insights into the controlling mechanisms of soil water retention.