It is suggested that trustworthy clinical decision support should be evaluated by both average correctness and stability across medically equivalent patient narratives.
Abstract
Medical large language models are often judged by how many clinical questions they answer correctly. That view is useful, but it misses a practical risk. A model may know the right answer and still change its response when the same case is written in a different patient voice. This paper evaluates that risk as SDoH aware narrative anchoring bias. We use NarrativeShield SDoH MedQA, a counterfactual medical question answering dataset in which each case appears in persona based narratives while the answer key remains fixed. The dataset is reshaped from wide format into case grouped persona rows. We evaluate three open source instruction tuned LLMs from the Qwen2.5 family: 1.5B, 3B, and 7B. The final experiment uses 300 clinical cases and produces 8,100 model responses across three prompting conditions. We report persona level accuracy, counterfactual consistency, correct consistency, and narrative sensitivity error. Qwen2.5 7B achieves the best accuracy at 56.33 percent and the best correct consistency at 40.33 percent. Paired McNemar exact tests show significant accuracy gains for 7B over 3B in all prompt settings. Even so, narrative sensitivity remains, with the lowest error still at 31.67 percent. These results suggest that trustworthy clinical decision support should be evaluated by both average correctness and stability across medically equivalent patient narratives.
An evaluation framework based on the MedMCQA dataset consisting of two complementary uncertainty settings is proposed, which introduces linguistic uncertainty cues through prompt modifications to simulate ambiguous clinical contexts and observes significant variation across models in their ability to abstain when the c...
Maryam Tahermazandarani, Adnan Mahmood, Fahmida Islam et al.· International Conference on...· 0 citations
NarrativeShield, a three-agent pipeline that structurally extracts and verifies clinical facts before diagnostic reasoning begins, reducing the Narrative Anchoring Gap to near-zero and achieving the lowest rate of severely unstable decisions of any method across all models, at a modest and mechanistically expected accu...
Prabhjot Singh, Pritam Deka, V. Chennareddy· arXiv.org· 0 citations
LLM-judged clinical safety effects should be reported as directional and relative, anchored to human review and evaluated jointly with helpfulness, not as calibrated absolute rates.
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Ying Xiao, Zhenpeng Chen, Jie M. Zhang· Philosophical transactions....· 1 citation
Clinical decisions, such as diagnosing conditions, prescribing medications, and recommending procedures, are rarely made with absolute certainty. Instead, they reflect probabilistic judgments shaped by evolving patient information and incomplete evidence. However, current EHR systems and knowledge graphs encode such de...
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