Adaptive logistics architecture: the case of Ukraine
Abstract
This article substantiates the conceptual foundations and implementation framework of adaptive logistics management in Ukraine under conditions of prolonged military conflict, economic turbulence, and global supply chain transformation. The study systematizes theoretical approaches to adaptive governance and defines it as a dynamic, digitally integrated, scenario-based system ensuring real-time visibility, flexible resource allocation, infrastructure redundancy, and institutional coordination. Based on sectoral analytical indicators (freight volumes, digital adoption rates, logistics contribution to GDP, resilience metrics), the paper evaluates the current state of Ukraineʼs logistics market and identifies structural constraints to transformation. A structured implementation framework is proposed, including the creation of a national digital logistics platform, development of dual-use regional hubs, AI-based risk management integration, education reform, and regulatory modernization. Using scenario modelling (realistic, pessimistic, optimistic) for 2026–2032, the study introduces KPI-based evaluation of transit time, cost efficiency, recovery speed, redundancy ratio, and composite resilience index. The results confirm the research hypothesis that adaptive logistics management significantly improves operational continuity and systemic resilience, with projected composite performance growth ranging from moderate stabilization to accelerated structural advancement depending on institutional coherence and investment intensity. The research provides analytical validation of adaptive logistics as a strategic instrument for Ukraineʼs economic recovery and long-term competitiveness