This work improves the leading constant in the maximum squared error and the mean squared error, and proves an $\Omega(\epsilon^{-2}\log^3 n)$ lower bound for the class of factorizations whose matrices have entries in $\{0,1\}$, matching the upper-bound asymptotics for this class.
Abstract
Continual counting under pure differential privacy is one of the simplest and most well-studied problems in the continual observation model. Nevertheless, an asymptotic gap remains between the best known upper and lower bounds for maximum squared error and mean squared error: the upper bound is $O(\epsilon^{-2}\log^3 n)$, while the lower bound is $\Omega(\epsilon^{-2}\log^2 n)$, for both error metrics. The best known constant in the upper bound is achieved by the $k$-ary tree mechanism with the subtraction trick, due to Andersson, Pagh, Steiner, and Torkamani (FORC 2025). In this work, we improve the leading constant in the maximum squared error and the mean squared error. Our approach uses a general matrix factorization mechanism, yielding an improved bound for pure-DP continual counting that does not rely on a tree-based construction. The mechanism starts from a good-quality low-dimensional factorization, obtained via gradient-based optimization, and gives an explicit matrix construction that lifts this factorization to arbitrarily large dimensions, further improving its error guarantees. We offer an efficient algorithmic implementation of our mechanism. On the lower-bound side, we prove an $\Omega(\epsilon^{-2}\log^3 n)$ lower bound for the class of factorizations whose matrices have entries in $\{0,1\}$, matching the upper-bound asymptotics for this class. This class includes the binary tree mechanism and $k$-ary tree mechanisms without the subtraction trick. Extending this lower bound to arbitrary matrix factorizations, and beyond the matrix mechanism altogether, remains an open problem.
The conjectured upper bound of k statistical queries on a universe of size T can be released under pure differential privacy with expected worst-coordinate error at the square-root rate suggested by known lower bounds is proved.
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