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Oct 2026
We study mechanisms in which agents'preferences depend both on an object allocation and on a third party's beliefs about private information. A mechanism determines an allocation, transfers, and sends signals to the aftermarket. We compare two informational environments: (i) private transfers, where the aftermarket obs...
Olivier Bos, Martin Pollrich
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Preprint
Oct 2026
A sender with commitment provides additional information to an already informed receiver. Final posterior means must be more dispersed than initial means and less dispersed than the state, in convex order. We characterize when these two plausibility constraints are also sufficient, so that every distribution satisfying...
Constantine S. Sorokin
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Yan-Lin Chen, Jun Zhang
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Preprint
Sep 2026
An expert may misreport her forecast to influence a decision she cares about. We study contracts that elicit both her belief about a verifiable state and her stake in a binary action. If every belief is possible at two distinct stakes, exact incentive compatibility prevents a belief-only mechanism from letting the acti...
Bo Cowgill
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Stefan Terstiege, Mara Ewers, Johannes Koenen et al.
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Benjamin Blumenthal, Matteo Broso, S. Callander et al.
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