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Geostatistical Modelling and Web‐Based Mapping of Malaria Risks Among Children Under Five Years in Nigeria: Evidence From the 2021 Nigeria Malaria Indicator Survey

Aug 2026 · Health Science Reports · Vol 9 · 0 citations · 27 references
Medicine

TL;DR

This modelling study sought to understand, predict and map malaria risk in the presence of environmental factors in Nigeria to inform control and elimination strategies amidst limited public health resources in this setting.

Abstract

Malaria is a critical public health concern in Nigeria with the country bearing an uneven burden of the disease. In Nigeria, malaria is one of the main causes of child mortality and despite all efforts to reduce malaria mortality rates, the disease remains a major concern, notably among children under‐fives. There is a paucity of data on more localized predictive malaria risk geospatial maps to inform control and elimination strategies amidst limited public health resources in this setting. This modelling study therefore sought to understand, predict and map malaria risk in the presence of environmental factors in Nigeria.

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