It is argued that within-class variance in language-model representations is allocated information storage, and that the allocation obeys a law, and that the allocation obeys a law.
Abstract
Within-class variance in language-model representations is commonly read as incomplete neural collapse. We argue it is allocated information storage, and that the allocation obeys a law. A one-line centering identity voids a family of simplex equiangular-tight-frame claims, including our own earlier ones; in dimensionless variance shares across 14 models, macro-category structure carries only 4-12% of representational variance and within-token context carries 79-91%, stable across a 100x parameter range. On the theory side, token-level weight decay penalizes a category in proportion to its type count, not its occurrence mass, reducing next-token prediction to an imbalanced K-class problem whose optimum orders category norms by type count. A converse floor, proved for binary categories, forces within-category dispersion to be at least proportional to the conditional mutual information I(token; context | category). The law holds: identity dispersion, not total variance, tracks this information across every tested model and partition, under a model-free estimate and even across models, where one model's information predicts another's dispersion; and over pretraining the category share overshoots, decays, and partially recovers, because the information it must carry never left.
We propose that a model's uncertainty about a token is reflected not only in the breadth of its output distribution but also in whether a confident prediction is \emph{fragile} under perturbation of its attention pathways. We instantiate this as ASMI (Attention-Subnetwork Mutual Information), a training-free estimator that masks attention heads and measures the BALD mutual information among the resulting subnetworks, with a semantic-agreement kernel to discount surface-form disagreement. The signal is not a restatement of output confidence: on grounded QA an out-of-fold test shows it adds error-predictive information beyond single-pass confidence and entropy, concentrated in \emph{confident-but-fragile} predictions, where acting on it roughly halves the retained error of a confidence filter. The distinctness is regime-graded, so ASMI predicts its own domain of applicability, strong where answers are routed through provided context and bounded by design where they are recalled from parametric knowledge. Sem-ASMI reads the signal from a single greedy response, without the stochastic generations the strongest baselines require, and ties or beats Semantic Entropy on ten of the twelve grounded benchmark-backbone settings. Across the same twelve settings, the best ASMI variant, typically the adaptive one reusing the ten samples already drawn for the baselines, ties or leads the strongest baseline in eight, significantly in three under a paired test. On parametric QA all variants revert to or below the zero-cost MSP baseline, exactly as predicted, and the estimates are near-deterministic across reruns. A head-level analysis shows that what tracks this boundary is not the presence of head-level fragility but whether that fragility couples to errors.
Minsoo Kim, Sungyoung Ji, Kisung Moon et al.· 0 citations
Attention collapse in autoregressive language models -- manifested as repetitive token loops where the model becomes trapped in self-reinforcing attractors -- is a persistent pathology that existing decoding-time heuristics fail to address at its root cause. We present a principled framework that penalises or compensates anomalous confidence arising from collapsed generation patterns, by comparing a token's observed frequency against its corpus prior through an adjacent-conditional probability construction. The resulting self-normalising penalty ratio $R=f(m,n,p)/f(np,n,p)$ requires no ad hoc standardisation and admits a closed-form logit offset with zero approximation error. The correction is isolated from the loss gradient and accumulated into a frozen output-layer bias via exponential moving average, enabling deployment as a repair mechanism for models that have already collapsed without requiring intrusive modifications to standard training pipelines. Experimental validation on a 1.5B-parameter model demonstrates that the frozen-bias mechanism can rescue a model already trapped in a collapsed attractor, reducing 2-gram repetition from 0.073 to near 0 while preserving generation quality.
Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) are effective for images, video, and audio, yet deterministic JEPA-style latent prediction has not become a standard objective for text encoders. We argue that this gap reflects a mismatch between squared-error latent prediction and the conditional structure of language. The key requirement is conditional concentration: given a context and target location, the target representation should lie near a single meaningful point. Local image prediction often satisfies this through spatial continuity, whereas masked text can admit multiple valid token or span completions whose representations need not share a coherent center. We formalize this mismatch through three conditions---predictability, non-collapse, and low conditional variance---and show how their failure creates centroid degeneracy and collapse pressure in text. Matched I-JEPA and T-JEPA experiments reveal the predicted sequence: mutual-information saturation and elevated target variance precede train--validation instability, effective-rank degeneration, cosine collapse, and poor downstream transfer. The same pattern appears across five independent data seeds, indicating that it is not a sampling artifact. These results do not rule out predictive learning for language; they show that text-compatible JEPA objectives must preserve multiple plausible completions rather than compress them into a single latent point.
Do large language models contain domain-specific parametric shells: concentrated, causally necessary neuron populations whose removal selectively degrades a target domain while sparing others? We apply a uniform causal methodology across two domain granularities, three model families (1.5B to 7B parameters), and eight domains. At the academic subject level, zero neurons exceed 60\% domain selectivity across 939,008 combined FFN neurons and causal damage matrices are flat, despite domain identity being linearly decodable above 85\% accuracy. At the language and modality level, 0.65--1.14\% of neurons exceed 60\% selectivity, damage matrices are near-perfectly diagonal (ratios up to 595:1), and shell neuron sets are essentially disjoint (IoU $<0.003$). Masking code-selective neurons reduces mathematical reasoning accuracy by 16--24 percentage points across all models; masking Spanish or Chinese neurons leaves it at or below random. Shell strength increases monotonically with scale and shells are spatially interleaved in a pattern that precludes group-level selective quantization. Parametric shells form where and only where training data was modular at the token level.
M. Armstrong, Navid Ayoobi, Arjun Mukherjee· 0 citations
An architecture-agnostic sufficient condition is established linking behavioral similarity to inference-prompt coverage, small excess population log-loss, and similar effective target distributions---a possible training-side account rather than an empirical explanation of the observed trends.
Behavior manifold analysis is introduced, which isolates behavior-specific geometry by selecting sparse behavior-associated coordinates and lifting them into low-dimensional local charts, and provides a unified framework for understanding the mechanistic distinction between the two objectives.
Juntong Wang, Shengkun Yang, Xiyuan Wang et al.· 0 citations