This work forms a correction-aware network model that tracks susceptible, exposed, infectious, and corrected agents and derive its early-invasion condition for heterogeneous communication networks, and couple this propagation model to an analytic majority-vote benchmark in which a clean-task reliability target imposes a minimum connectivity requirement.
Abstract
Communication allows large language model agents to pool evidence, but it also creates paths along which an erroneous claim can spread. We formulate a correction-aware network model that tracks susceptible, exposed, infectious, and corrected agents and derive its early-invasion condition for heterogeneous communication networks. We then couple this propagation model to an analytic majority-vote benchmark in which a clean-task reliability target imposes a minimum connectivity requirement. Under fixed exposure per communication edge, reliability and error control impose opposing graph constraints. We characterize when their intersection is empty and when it contains an intermediate connectivity range, and identify regular graphs that attain the smallest invasion factor within the reliable graph class when such graphs exist. Under a fixed sender budget, the homogeneous first-order threshold is independent of network density, showing that the communication-budget convention determines whether added edges increase early propagation risk. Finite-network simulations on 21,000 trajectories illustrate these directional predictions. A controlled grok-4.3 experiment then evaluates three six-node topologies on 36 new closed-world tasks, with a balanced 12-task subset continued to full cascades. Mean first-generation offspring increased from 0.667 to 1.333 and 1.667 as degree increased from 2 to 4 and 5, while the adoption fraction among exposed neighbours remained 0.333. Mean non-seed erroneous adoption in the full-cascade subset was 0.200, 0.333, and 0.333. Together, these results provide a tractable basis for selecting connectivity under explicit reliability and propagation constraints.
The performance of large language model (LLM)-based multi-agent systems (MAS) largely depends on effective communication topologies. Existing topology generation methods, however, typically learn communication topologies through black-box optimization driven solely by task-level rewards. While effective, such optimization provides little insight into why particular communication edges are selected, making it difficult to identify the critical communication subgraphs responsible for successful collaboration. To address this limitation, we propose E2-Explainer, a model-agnostic framework for providing interpretable explanations of communication topologies produced by arbitrary topology generators. Specifically, we formulate topology explanation as a causal attribution problem that identifies compact communication subgraphs supported by edge-level evidence of task preservation. We obtain this evidence with a Granger-style objective that measures how masking each communication channel changes the task outcome and the stability of the final response. The resulting budgeted subgraphs are then distilled into an amortized explainer, enabling efficient post-hoc explanation without repeated edge-level evaluations at deployment. Extensive experiments on multiple reasoning and coding benchmarks demonstrate that E2-Explainer identifies critical communication subgraphs that preserve successful collaboration. These subgraphs can also be executed directly to prune redundant communication edges, substantially reducing communication costs while maintaining competitive task performance.
Multi-agent language-model (LM) systems often determine which agents communicate, yet routing is usually treated as an implementation detail. We ask whether routing itself determines whether a population converges on a shared convention or fragments into persistent cliques. We study open-weight agents spanning 1.1B-32B parameters in a controlled naming game, tracking both emitted labels and full first-token preference distributions over the allowed labels. Similarity-based routing can isolate emerging conventions and sustain fragmentation even when every agent interacts in every round. Matched controls show that this effect is not explained solely by uneven participation or model-family-specific score preferences: random rematching and policies that connect disagreeing groups improve coordination when partner-label history is retained, but not when it is absent. Exposure alone is nevertheless insufficient, as some mixed-model populations remain divided despite frequent cross-family interaction, although the same models coordinate homogeneously. Trajectory and controlled-history analyses further distinguish reaching consensus from maintaining it. Finally, ARC-Challenge and MMLU experiments show that routing changes how correct and incorrect answers propagate without reliably improving accuracy. These results establish the runtime interaction graph as a causal design variable whose effects depend jointly on memory, model response, and population composition.
Tipping-point dynamics describe the critical conditions under which a committed minority drives a population to abandon an established convention in favor of a new one. We present a transparent agent-based model of this process, in which agents hold one of two behavioral states and a mobile committed minority attempts to overturn the incumbent convention. Our goal was to examine how localized mobility, bounded agent memory, and network topology jointly influence the tipping threshold. Using a custom agent-based simulation framework, we found that in many configurations, tipping becomes effectively inevitable: given sufficient time, the population always converges to the minority state. This observation motivated a complementary analysis focused on the pace of convergence rather than its feasibility. We introduce a unified predictive model that accurately estimates how structural and behavioral parameters determine the time required for complete adoption, showing that mobility is the dominant accelerator while memory and connectivity modulate convergence in systematic ways. Together, these results extend classical tipping-point research by linking structural and behavioral factors not only to the likelihood of convention change but also to the timescale on which it unfolds. While we frame the model in terms of convention-like binary behavioral adoption, the same mechanisms bear on norm change and other contagion-like social processes.
Joseph Shymanski, Garrick Springer, S. Sen· 0 citations
This work shows that a dual-threshold bootstrap percolation model on random hypergraphs separates a connected active backbone from large-scale endogenous activation, providing a basis for predicting cascade risk and designing targeted node- and group-level interventions in complex systems.
Modern agentic AI systems combine multiple large language model agents with heterogeneous skills, yet most architectures either fix communication in advance or allow full broadcast. Both can be inefficient because token cost, latency, redundancy, and error propagation increase with the number of active agents and communication links. We model agent selection and communication as a cooperative game with task-conditioned net utility $U(C\mid x)=V(C\mid x)-\sum_{i\in C}c_i$, separating coalition-level costs from agent activation costs. We propose a marginal-value activation rule and greedy router, extend the model to optimize communication edges with per-edge costs, and use estimated Shapley values to predict which agents are worth contacting before and during execution. We connect the problem to submodular maximization and prove two limited guarantees: a curvature-refined bound for a monotone, cardinality-constrained special case, and a tight $1/2$-approximation, with a correction for signed objectives, for an unconstrained non-monotone case via double greedy. Neither guarantee applies directly to the main router, which remains a heuristic. We also prove a Shapley-submodularity sandwich bound linking the error of marginal-value routing to a per-agent diminishing-returns quantity. In synthetic experiments, greedy routing achieves $99.5%$ of brute-force-optimal utility while activating $1.96$ of $8$ agents on average, compared with $38.8%$ for full broadcast. Performance is robust to activation cost and redundancy weight but falls to $66%$ under strong violations of submodularity or noisy value estimates. We distinguish the framework from Shapley pricing, hedonic coalition formation, and communication-graph pruning, and propose evaluation on real multi-agent LLM benchmarks.
This study examines how misinformation can persist when broadcast exposure and social feedback reinforce one another under stochastic platform conditions. Text classifiers and single-layer cascade models omit latent exposure, reply-driven amplification, random attention shocks, and uncertainty in intervention response. A stochastic duplex SEIR model is developed on heterogeneous networks, with an information exposure layer for broadcast and recommendation channels and a social feedback layer for replies, discussion, and amplification. The analysis combines degree-weighted mean-field equations, next-generation threshold calculations, Lyapunov stability arguments, Fokker–Planck linear noise approximation, Milstein simulation, and Wasserstein distributionally robust control. Theoretical results provide positivity, stochastic threshold conditions, extinction and persistence regimes, and sufficient conditions for stationary behavior and robust control stability. Numerical simulations show extinction–persistence transitions, cross-layer resonance, noise-induced threshold shifts, stationary bands, control cost–safety trade-offs, and sensitivity to unidentifiable stochastic parameters. A CoAID tweet–reply case study maps public interaction traces to observable duplex indicators, including tweet–reply densities, propagation elasticities, coupling proxies, and classifier features. Duplex observable features improve over a single-layer public data baseline, while model-assisted stochastic features add modest gains in the available public projection. Structural fitting of the stochastic duplex process would require time-stamped user-level multiplex trajectories, recommendation exposures, and intervention logs. The case study also clarifies the data granularity needed for future platform-level calibration and operational readiness. The framework supports data-informed platform governance by linking propagation thresholds, algorithmic down-ranking, reply thread moderation, intervention cost, and robustness bounds within a common threshold control language for practical settings.