Integrating Water Use Efficiency Dynamics into Ecological Function Zoning: Patterns, Drivers, and Trade-offs.

Abstract

Rapid climate changes pose significant challenges to regional ecosystem stability. Ecological function zoning (EFZ) is essential for spatial management, and Water Use Efficiency (WUE), which links carbon and water cycles, serves as a critical dynamic indicator to enhance zoning adaptability. This study developed a dynamic EFZ framework for the Fuyang River watershed. The spatiotemporal trends of WUE (2001-2020) were first quantified using calibrated vegetation and hydrological models. These dynamic trends were then integrated with four indicators (ecological sensitivity, soil erosion, habitat quality and land use type) using a Self-Organizing Map (SOM) to delineate functional zones. Furthermore, the driving factors and spatial interactions were analyzed using the XGBoost model and Geographically Weighted Regression. Results revealed that WUE exhibited a dominant increasing trend across most areas of the watershed, particularly in shrublands. The NDVI trend exerted widespread spatial dominance across the watershed, confirming that vegetation restoration is the primary driver of the WUE increase. Consequently, the watershed was classified into three distinct zones: the Ecological Conservation Zone in the western mountains, characterized by high sensitivity but increasing WUE; the Agricultural Production Zone in the central plains; and the Urban Development Zone, defined by habitat degradation and declining WUE. Mechanistically, natural restoration in the conservation zone promoted synergies between WUE and ecological quality, whereas intensive management in the agricultural zone led to trade-offs between production and soil conservation. This study demonstrates the necessity of incorporating dynamic process indicators into spatial planning and provides a scientific basis for adaptive ecological management.