Thermodynamics-Informed Machine Learning for Energy Materials Discovery
TL;DR
It is argued that developing thermodynamics-informed ML constitutes one of the most important and least explored frontiers in materials discovery and that the next generation of ML models must move beyond static energy predictions towards a thermodynamic description of materials behaviour under realistic operating conditions.
Abstract
Machine learning (ML) is transforming materials discovery by enabling rapid prediction of properties that previously required computationally expensive first-principles calculations. Yet most current ML models remain fundamentally limited to zero-temperature descriptions, learning static lattice energies while neglecting the thermodynamic effects that govern materials behaviour at finite temperature. Because phase stability, functional response, and performance are governed by free-energy landscapes rather than static energies alone, this limitation represents a major barrier to predictive materials design under realistic operating conditions. In this Perspective, we argue that developing thermodynamics-informed ML constitutes one of the most important and least explored frontiers in materials discovery. We examine the fundamental shortcomings of energy-based models, highlighting the essential roles of entropy and anharmonicity in determining free energies and materials functionality. We review emerging strategies, including machine-learned interatomic potentials and hybrid ML-statistical mechanics frameworks, while identifying key challenges related to data availability, transferability, and thermodynamic consistency. Building on these advances, we outline a roadmap for thermodynamics-informed ML centred on direct free-energy learning, entropy-aware representations, and adaptive sampling across temperature. We highlight the transformative opportunities this paradigm offers for energy materials and argue that the next generation of ML models must move beyond static energy predictions towards a thermodynamic description of materials behaviour under realistic operating conditions.