The Impact of Quantifying Financial News Features on Short-term Stock Return Volatility —— Backtesting analysis based on publicly available financial text information
This study examines whether measurable features of public financial news can help explain short-term stock return volatility. Public announcements, financial news, institutional opinions, social media heat and market data are converted into five variables: sentiment, topic type, popularity, publication timing and market controls. Based on an initial backtesting sample of twenty anonymized events, the paper applies event-window calculation, group comparison and a simplified regression framework to observe T+1, T+3 and T+5 market reactions. The early results show that negative news, high-heat news and core-topic news related to performance, regulation, policy or capital flows are more closely associated with stronger T+3 volatility. However, abnormal returns do not show a stable direction across groups. These findings suggest that text quantification is more useful for identifying information shocks, risk attention and review priority than for producing independent trading signals. The study also provides a basic structure for future expansion to a larger sample with clearer stock codes, information sources and release times.
This study aims to examine whether media-driven public perception of a firm’s environmental, social and governance performance (i.e. ESG news sentiment) and its media attention are associated with subsequent stock price crash risk. Using public sentiment formed from ESG news alone – separate from firms’ self-report...
Kesara Hewage, S. Abhayawansa, M. Chiah· Meditari Accountancy Researc...· 0 citations
Monetary-policy announcements and central-bank communications play a central role in foreign exchange markets, yet their qualitative, unstructured form makes their forecasting value difficult to quantify. While prior research has largely focused on sentiment extracted from financial news, comparatively little is known...
This study examines the dynamic effects of monetary policy changes on derivatives pricing behavior, emphasizing applications in financial risk management for industrial commodities. High-frequency policy sentiment is extracted from textual announcements using BERT-based natural language processing, capturing market exp...
The growth of digital financial media has led to the faster and larger dissemination of market information while varying levels of emotionality in the news reporting from different sources can create conflicting public signals and add to information asymmetry. While there is some existing literature on the connection b...
Yue-Tong Yang· Applied and Computational En...· 0 citations
Subject. The relationship between news sentiment and securities returns.
Objectives. To quantitatively assess the impact of news sentiment on the returns of stocks in the Russian stock market and to identify the asymmetry in price reactions to positive and negative information signals, taking into account time horizons...
Mark A. Babii, G. A. Borisenko· Finance and Credit· 0 citations
Whether financial news influences stock prices or simply reflects information already incorporated into them remains an open question in financial economics. The COVID-19 pandemic provides an opportunity to revisit this question, as it disrupted both news coverage and financial markets on an unprecedented scale. Existi...
Shivansh Verma, Soham Tulsyan, Sashwat Dhanuka et al.· 0 citations
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