Subseasonal predictability of the Bay of Bengal summer monsoon onset tied to three-ocean sea surface temperature anomalies

Tropical and extratropical intraseasonal oscillations jointly delayed the 2025 South China Sea summer monsoon onset

Impacts of ocean–land–atmosphere interactions on Bay of Bengal summer monsoon onset anomalies via modulating the monsoon-triggering intraseasonal oscillations

The onset of the summer monsoon marks an abrupt transition in the local annual hydrological cycle. As the earliest-established monsoon subsystem, the monsoon onset over the Bay of Bengal (BOB) not only influences early summer precipitation in the region but also plays a pivotal role in the subsequent progression of the...

Sub-Seasonal Predictability of Heatwave Onset using Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Teleconnections

Heatwaves are among the deadliest climate extremes, and their impacts on human health, agriculture, energy demand, and infrastructure are strongly dependent on the amount of advance warning available to decision-makers. Weather forecasts provide reliable skill only to about 10–14 days, while seasonal forecasts operate...

Climate Variations of Autumn Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific: Roles of Tropical and Midlatitude SST Anomalies

Tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) pose significant threats to socio‐economic systems, yet their variability during the autumn season remains relatively understudied compared to summer. This study examines the interannual and decadal variations of WNP TC genesis in autumn using reanalysis data s...

Advancing oceanographic forecasts in the Bay of Bengal: an AI-based spatiotemporal prediction for SST and MLD

A deep-learning model based on ConvLSTM to forecast SST and MLD in the Bay of Bengal for up to four weeks ahead contributes to improved ocean variable forecasting and demonstrates potential for ISMR prediction and disaster management.

Monsoonal Wind‐Driven Ocean Dynamics Drive Seasonal Sea Surface Temperature Variability in the Indonesian Seas

The governing mechanisms of sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the Indonesian seas, which exerts a significant influence on atmospheric convection and Indo‐Pacific climate, are investigated using observations and high‐resolution regional ocean model simulations. Observations show that SST variability is dom...