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Open access Aug 2026

Precursor dynamical factors in the local lower atmosphere of warm-sector heavy rainfall over South China: evidence from wind profiler radar observations

Abstract. Using 14 wind profiler radars and hourly records at 3000 weather stations during 2016–2020, 226 warm-sector heavy rainfall (WSHR) events were identified in Guangdong, South China. Five indices reflecting the vertical structure of the atmosphere were analyzed as precursor dynamical signals of WSHR occurrence –...

Wanju Li, Li-Fang Sheng, Xueyan Bi et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Regional contrasts in short-duration heavy precipitation and associated low-level-jet environments over the Liaohe River Basin

Short-duration heavy precipitation (SDHP) is a major driver of flash flooding and urban waterlogging in the Liaohe River Basin of Northeast China. Here we combine hourly precipitation observations from 3,675 automatic weather stations with the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalys...

Ping Li, Jian-Xin Wu, Yong-Hua Zhang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

MAGPIE-Net: Predicting short-duration heavy-rainfall events in station neighborhoods from multitemporal FY-4A AGRI observations

Short-duration heavy-rainfall warning determines whether 1 h rainfall will exceed a threshold within a target-station neighborhood over the next few hours. Multitemporal infrared and water-vapor observations from the Fengyun-4A Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (FY-4A AGRI) capture cloud-top cooling, moisture evo...

Xiang Lin, Yun-Ying Li, Cheng-Zhi Ye et al. · 0 citations
Open access Sep 2026

Identification and Correction of Atypical Extreme Heavy Rainfall over the Guangzhou–Foshan Megacity Cluster Based on Key Circulation Factor Clustering

This study investigates the relationship between key circulation factors and ensemble forecast uncertainty during an atypical extreme heavy-rainfall event under weak synoptic forcing that affected the Guangzhou–Foshan megacity cluster in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) on 8 September 2022. Here, “atypical” refers to a loca...

Jia-Wen Zheng, Bing-Hong Chen, Lan Zhang et al. · 0 citations

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