BEFORE THE FLIP: Measuring Hidden Score Shifts In Quantized Vision Language Models Before The Answer Changes for Visual Question Answering

Abstract

Quantization makes vision language models (VLMs) cheaper to store and run by using fewer bits to represent their weights. While unchanged answers on visual question answering (VQA) after compression are an expected behavior, they can still hide changes in the underlying scores (log probabilities). For example, a model may still answer yes after compression, even as the score gap between yes and no shrinks. We introduce BEFORE THE FLIP to measure these hidden changes. Our method compares the score change caused by compression with the change caused by replacing the image's internal representations, or image tokens, with one fixed average token. We then increase the precision of one weight group at a time to identify where extra bits help, and test whether choosing different groups for each question offers benefits beyond shuffled controls. Among 8,277 LLaVA questions where image token replacement measurably affects the scores, 4-bit compression shifts the yes or no score gap farther toward the replacement output than 8-bit compression. Qwen shows the same pattern, but with a smaller difference. Yet only 265 of 9,000 LLaVA answers change at 4 bits. In a separate study of 1,024 calibration questions, choosing weight groups separately for each question does not outperform both shuffled controls at any tested storage budget. These findings show that compression can alter the scores behind unchanged answers, but do not establish a reliable benefit from adjusting precision for each question.