Probabilistic forecasts of day-ahead electricity prices are increasingly used to manage price risk, yet competing models are usually ranked on aggregate scores that average over the price regimes in which uncertainty matters most. This study evaluates probabilistic forecasts of hourly EPEX SPOT GB day-ahead prices over...
The urban heat island (UHI) effect amplifies heat stress in cities, increasing heat-related illness, mortality, sleep disruption, and energy demand. Because UHI intensity varies at neighborhood scales, intra-city temperature mapping is essential for assessing public health impacts, yet existing monitoring networks are...
Ellie K. Kim, Zachary D. Calhoun, Michael H. Bergin et al.· 0 citations
Adversarial Imitation Learning (AIL) methods, while effective in settings with limited expert demonstrations, are often considered unstable. These approaches typically decompose into two components: Density Ratio (DR) estimation $\frac{\rho_E}{\rho_{\pi}}$, where a discriminator estimates the relative occupancy of stat...
Visuomotor policies trained via behavior cloning are vulnerable to covariate shift, where small deviations from expert trajectories can compound into failure. Common strategies to mitigate this issue involve expanding the training distribution through human-in-the-loop corrections or synthetic data augmentation. Howeve...
Zhanyi Sun, Shuran Song· 0 citations
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Preserving the privacy of preferences (or rewards) of a sequential decision-making agent when decisions are observable is crucial in many physical and cybersecurity domains. For instance, in wildlife monitoring, agents must allocate patrolling resources without revealing animal locations to poachers. This paper address...
Given a class of machine learning models and sample access to a data distribution with binary labels, which computational task is harder: training a discriminative model that distinguishes positive and negative labels as well as the best member of the class, or training a generative model whose outputs are indistinguis...
S\'ilvia Casacuberta, Parikshit Gopalan, Varun Kanade et al.· 0 citations
We study context-aware time-series forecasting, in which a single target variable is predicted from its own history and a set of contextual variables, such as weather and calendar information. As the context becomes more diverse, a single model struggles to capture all of its regimes, while ensemble learning and Mixtur...
Quantifying selection effects in gravitational-wave population studies requires millions of costly signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) calculations. We present $\Phi$asmaNet, a compact neural architecture for structured tabular regression, with staged spectral refinement as an explicit architectural prior. Learned input tokens...
Ioannis Tsioulis, Anastasios Tefas, Nikolaos Stergioulas· 0 citations
We prove a broad learning-theoretic generalization of the celebrated hardcore lemma concerning the average-case complexity of computing a Boolean function (Impagliazzo, 1995). Our starting point is the observation that the classic notion of a hardcore measure, which reweights a function's input distribution, is equival...
We attempt to alleviate failure modes of classical physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) in scenarios of topological pathologies corresponding to punctures, holes, poles, and voids by introducing de Rham cohomological augmentations, or Hodge-de Rham PINNs. Vanilla PINNs often encounter pitfalls in hole-based setting...
Antibody affinity maturation is a natural optimization process in which B cells acquire mutations through somatic hypermutation (SHM), undergo selection for improved antigen binding, and iteratively evolve toward higher affinity. Computationally modeling this process requires capturing both biologically plausible mutat...
Thao Nguyen, Robert G. Alberstein, Ewa Nowara et al.· 0 citations
Naive on-policy RL is often bottlenecked by the capabilities of the base model --- insufficient coverage can result in an inability to learn from certain rewards. At the same time, rewards in modern post-training systems often come from rich textual sources, e.g. judge models with a rubric of criteria. Can we utilize s...
Kevin Frans, Alexander M. Rush, Sergey Levine et al.· 0 citations
Research Manager Mike Walker reflects on a career spanning hacker culture, cybersecurity, and AI, sharing lessons about trust, teamwork, leadership, and why solving difficult problems requires curiosity, judgment, agility—and an understanding of the rules. The post Learn the rules: The hacker mindset appeared first on Microsoft Research.
Learn how Google Antigravity and our Cheminformatics Skills accelerate drug discovery workflows, search compounds, and propose novel rigidified macrocycles.
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence· news.mit.eduOct 28, 2026
Professor Paris Smaragdis develops computers with superhuman hearing for applications like speech recognition, music understanding, and environmental monitoring.
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence· news.mit.eduOct 27, 2026
Prabha Jha used her experience with MIT Open Learning’s program for senior executives to develop AI solutions for her employer, Verizon, and to write a book.
