Predictable patterns of summertime surface air temperature in extratropical northern hemisphere and their associated predictable sources in SEAS5

Climate Variations of Autumn Tropical Cyclone Genesis in the Western North Pacific: Roles of Tropical and Midlatitude SST Anomalies

Tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) pose significant threats to socio‐economic systems, yet their variability during the autumn season remains relatively understudied compared to summer. This study examines the interannual and decadal variations of WNP TC genesis in autumn using reanalysis data s...

Interdecadal changes of the ENSO-induced summertime anomalous western North Pacific anticyclone

El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events which usually mature during winter can have significant impacts on subsequent summertime western North Pacific anticyclone (WNPAC) and associated East Asian rainfall. Such delayed impacts are known to undergo interdecadal changes, but a systematic investigation on the charac...

Multi-temporal diagnostic of atmospheric circulation patterns and teleconnections in subtropical South America

Subseasonal predictability of the Bay of Bengal summer monsoon onset tied to three-ocean sea surface temperature anomalies

Sea surface temperature-forced and atmospheric internal variability of tropical cyclone genesis latitude in the northwest Pacific

Tropical cyclone (TC) genesis latitude in the northwest Pacific (NWP) exhibits strong year-to-year variations. Combining observations with a 100-member ensemble of TC-permitting atmospheric model simulations, we examine the oceanic forcing and atmospheric internal variability in these variations. Results show that se...

Enhancing Seasonal Predictability of Haihe River Basin Summer Precipitation Through ENSO and North Pacific–Atlantic Precursors

Escalating flood risks highlight the need for a better understanding of the predictability of Haihe River Basin summer precipitation (HRBSP). Here, we investigate the distinct roles of ENSO-related and ENSO-independent sea surface temperature (SST) precursors in modulating interannual HRBSP variability. Using Extende...