Scaling laws promised cost-effective experiments; six years later, they have yet to fully deliver. Instead, researchers have found them unreliable at small scales (starting at 4M parameters) and concluded that sizable models cannot be avoided. We show this is not the case: the confounding factor is hyperparameters. Small models are highly sensitive, but hyperparameter sensitivity fades with scale. This small-scale sensitivity makes scaling laws easy to miss because they only emerge on the fully tuned frontier, and reaching that frontier requires an extensive search far beyond what most ever run. By ablating the basic scaling law recipe, we show well-tuned hyperparameters matter more than any other ingredient. Further, we reveal why those hyperparameters become easier to find: as scale increases, the hyperparameter loss surface becomes lower dimensional. Nevertheless while scaling laws exist in small models, extrapolation hits statistical limitations. A holistic approach is required. Synthesizing our insights with the recent literature, we develop a new methodology for model-centric research and demonstrate it on a question that once took the field years to settle: where to place normalization layers in the transformer architecture. From small-scale experiments, we recover the large scale result: pre-normalization works better as models grow in size. With the right tools and a better understanding, small-scale experiments can deliver on scaling laws'long-awaited promise.
A compute-efficient, two-step hyperparameter transfer framework that estimates optimal learning rates for training large MoE models by transferring them across scaling model widths, and subsequently extrapolating to trillion-token horizons is proposed.
Nayeon Kim, Hojin Lee, Yunju Bak et al.· 0 citations
This work shows that conventional hyperparameter scaling laws are insufficient for ultra-sparse MoEs: the optimal learning rate and batch size vary with activation ratio, and these shifts cannot be explained by either total or activated parameter count alone.
Chang-Xin Tian, Kun-Long Chen, Jia Liu et al.· 0 citations
This work presents a systematic scaling law study for text-to-image diffusion models using Abra, a controlled family of flow-matching transformers trained across three orders of magnitude worth of compute, demonstrating that diffusion models scale just as predictably as language models but require far more data to trai...
Kyle R. Chickering, Wei-An Lin, Swayam Bhanded et al.· 2 citations
A framework for efficient scaling law construction that formulates data collection as a Bayesian optimization problem is proposed, and metrics for comparing scaling law fitting methods under constrained compute budgets are introduced.
It is shown that evaluating just one or two steps of TO is sufficiently informative and that the method scales favorably to thousands of hyperparameters at an expense comparable to only a few standard TO runs, and that the method scales favorably to thousands of hyperparameters at an expense comparable to only a few st...
Suryanarayanan Manoj Sanu, M. A. Bessa, A. M. Aragón· 0 citations
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