Storm surge from Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) is a large driver of fatalities and damage, accounting for 32% of all continental US (CONUS) TC fatalities from 1963 to 2024. Previous work has shown that landfalling minimum sea level pressure (MSLP) predicts normalized TC damage better than maximum sustained wind (V
max
), in part reflecting the robust relationship between storm size and MSLP. Given that storm size is an important driver of storm surge, we find a significantly stronger relationship between peak storm surge and CONUS hurricane landfalling MSLP (
r
= −0.78) than landfalling V
max
(
r
= 0.68). Peak storm surge also significantly correlates with both normalized damage (
r
rank
= 0.72) and direct fatalities (
r
rank
= 0.51). ADCIRC-simulated peak storm surges show consistent relationships with MSLP, V
max
, normalized damage, and direct fatalities, reinforcing the observational results. These findings highlight landfalling MSLP as a more skillful predictor of hurricane hazards and impacts than V
max
.
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are the most important hydrometeorological phenomena affecting Mexico, accounting for approximately 86.5% of the country’s most costly disasters, where extreme rainfall is the main TC-associated hazard. This study analyzes two TC size metrics during the 2000–2024 period: R34, defined as the mean...
Adolfo Pérez-Estrada, C. Domínguez, Alejandro Jaramillo-Moreno· Geofísica Internacional· 0 citations
Tropical cyclones are among the deadliest and costliest natural disasters in the United States, and the most intense storms are expected to become more frequent as the climate warms. Anticipating where deaths are most likely to occur is therefore central to preparedness, evacuation planning, and public health response....
Tropical cyclones frequently affect the Philippines, making its coastal areas highly vulnerable to storm surges. As an archipelagic country with an extensive and complex coastline, local coastal characteristics strongly influence surge magnitude and extent. However, most previous studies have focused on individual extr...
Anjela A. Ilagan, O. Cabrera, Marcelino Q. Villafuerte· Natural Hazards· 0 citations
Storm-surge residuals represent one of the most destructive marine-coastal hazards, and reliable short-term surge residual prediction is critical for coastal disaster preparedness. Conventional empirical forecasting approaches suffer from limited cross-regional generalization, while high-fidelity physics-based hydrodyn...
Bo-Hui Tang, Shu-Gang Zhang, Ai-Lian Li et al.· Journal of Marine Science an...· 0 citations
Lake-effect snow (LES) has traditionally been studied from a mesoscale perspective, with comparatively less attention devoted to the role of synoptic-scale forcing. This study quantifies the prevalence and magnitude of synoptic forcing during 116 heavy LES events affecting the eastern shore of Lake Michigan between 199...
Jake Wiley, Christopher Elcik· Meteorology· 0 citations
Storm surge current-time estimations are strongly influenced by recent water-level conditions, while the temporal dependence among samples from the same typhoon event can complicate the assessment of model generalization to unseen events. This study evaluated storm surge estimation at the Lianyungang tide gauge using 2...
Rui Liu, De-Wei Wang, Shuai-Kang Zhao et al.· Journal of Marine Science an...· 0 citations
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