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#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access

The Real Cost of Context: Predicting Compute Time and Energy Consumption in LLM Prefill and Decode Phases

Lars Krupp Daniel Gei{\ss}ler Francisco M. Calatrava-Nicolas Stefan Gerd Fritsch Paul Lukowicz Jakob Karolus
Oct 2026
Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into agentic architectures has substantially increased token consumption, raising concerns about their energy footprint. Yet, estimating the energy consumption of proprietary API-based models remains challenging, and existing approaches focus primarily on generated output tokens while overlooking the impact of the large input contexts characteristic of agentic workflows. To address this gap, we systematically profile compute time and energy consumption across a wide range of prefill (input) and decode (output) token lengths. Using generalized linear models, we show that decode compute time and energy scale linearly with output length, whereas prefill compute time and energy exhibit both linear and quadratic scaling with input length. These findings demonstrate that input context becomes a relevant factor for large-context workloads. Furthermore, we show that compute time serves as a reliable proxy for energy consumption when direct energy measurements are unavailable. Our mapping framework enables precise energy estimation and supports more sustainable deployment decisions for agentic AI.

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