A Planning-Oriented GIS Screening Framework for Sustainable Agrivoltaic Planning: A Connecticut Case Study

Abstract

Urban and peri-urban regions increasingly face climate-related pressures, competing land-use demands, and the need to expand renewable-energy infrastructure while maintaining agricultural land and landscape functions. Agrivoltaics, which combines photovoltaic energy generation with agricultural production, represents a potentially multifunctional approach to land use; however, regional GIS assessments often stop at environmental suitability surfaces without translating those results into planning-relevant cadastral inventories. This study develops and applies a planning-oriented Geographic Information System (GIS) framework for preliminary statewide agrivoltaic screening in Connecticut. Annual global solar radiation and terrain slope were integrated through a weighted suitability model, while incompatible land-cover classes were treated as hard exclusions through a binary land-cover mask. The workflow subsequently excluded protected and open-space lands, associated suitable areas with cadastral parcels, normalized and dissolved parcel identifiers using ParcelKey, and a recalculated suitable area from the resulting unique parcel geometries and then applied a minimum requirement of 1 ha of cumulative suitable area per retained parcel. The final baseline inventory contained 3497 normalized unique cadastral parcels encompassing 16,366.49 ha of GIS-identified suitable area, with suitable land representing an average of 42.46% of total parcel area. Peri-urban contexts accounted for the largest share of the final suitable area, containing 2497 parcels and 73.16% of the total, compared with 476 urban and 524 rural parcels. Sensitivity analysis indicated strong stability under alternative weighting schemes, with spatial overlap exceeding 99% relative to the baseline. Reducing the suitability-score threshold from 3.0 to 2.5 produced only minor changes, whereas increasing it to 3.5 reduced the inventory to 3095 parcels and 13,712.89 ha. From a sustainability perspective, the framework provides a spatial decision-support approach for coordinating renewable-energy planning with agricultural land stewardship, conservation constraints, and more efficient use of already fragmented land resources. By making the effects of exclusions, parcel thresholds, and analytical assumptions explicit, the approach supports more transparent and reproducible evaluation of land-use trade-offs relevant to sustainable development. The resulting inventory is intended as a first-stage planning resource rather than a determination of project feasibility or site-level sustainability performance.