Interstellar communication is not merely slow. It is strategically stale. A message received across distance reports a sender that may no longer occupy the same strategic state, while replies and irreversible actions are chosen on different local clocks. This paper develops a delayed Bayesian interaction game in which...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Interstellar communication is not merely slow. It is strategically stale. A message received across distance reports a sender that may no longer occupy the same strategic state, while replies and irreversible actions are chosen on different local clocks. This paper develops a delayed Bayesian interaction game in which...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
The Dark Forest hypothesis is usually presented as a general consequence of uncertainty, technological asymmetry and catastrophic vulnerability. This paper asks a narrower question: under which combinations of beliefs, capabilities, signalling conditions and network incentives does a Dark Forest actually emerge? A Dark...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
The Dark Forest hypothesis is usually presented as a general consequence of uncertainty, technological asymmetry and catastrophic vulnerability. This paper asks a narrower question: under which combinations of beliefs, capabilities, signalling conditions and network incentives does a Dark Forest actually emerge? A Dark...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Interstellar game models normally allow strategies to change while holding fixed the players, technologies, preferences, feasible actions and payoff structure. This assumption is least credible for advanced civilisations operating across long technological and evolutionary horizons. This paper develops an Endogenous Ga...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Interstellar game models normally allow strategies to change while holding fixed the players, technologies, preferences, feasible actions and payoff structure. This assumption is least credible for advanced civilisations operating across long technological and evolutionary horizons. This paper develops an Endogenous Ga...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Interstellar game models normally allow strategies to change while holding fixed the players, technologies, preferences, feasible actions and payoff structure. This assumption is least credible for advanced civilisations operating across long technological and evolutionary horizons. This paper develops an Endogenous Ga...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Interstellar game models normally allow strategies to change while holding fixed the players, technologies, preferences, feasible actions and payoff structure. This assumption is least credible for advanced civilisations operating across long technological and evolutionary horizons. This paper develops an Endogenous Ga...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Dark Forest arguments commonly reduce interstellar strategy to a bilateral encounter between two persistent civilisations. A galaxy, however, is an open population in which civilisations enter, disappear, form selective relationships and occupy a spatially constrained network. This paper develops a continuous-time Gala...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
Dark Forest arguments commonly reduce interstellar strategy to a bilateral encounter between two persistent civilisations. A galaxy, however, is an open population in which civilisations enter, disappear, form selective relationships and occupy a spatially constrained network. This paper develops a continuous-time Gala...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
The Dark Forest hypothesis treats cosmic silence as the strategic consequence of uncertainty, catastrophic vulnerability and incentives for pre-emptive attack. Its central conclusion is usually stated intuitively rather than derived from an explicit incomplete-information game. This paper develops the Bayesian Dark For...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
The Dark Forest hypothesis treats cosmic silence as the strategic consequence of uncertainty, catastrophic vulnerability and incentives for pre-emptive attack. Its central conclusion is usually stated intuitively rather than derived from an explicit incomplete-information game. This paper develops the Bayesian Dark For...
Kwan Hong TAN· Zenodo (CERN European Organi...· 0 citations
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