Electronic Health Record (EHR) prediction models in the intensive care unit must learn from sparse and irregular measurements while preserving the clinical meaning of time and supporting transparent decision-making. We present INTERVenE, a family of Transformer architectures whose input is an interval-based, knowledge-based temporal abstraction (KBTA), a token stream of named clinical concepts (states, trends, events, contexts) drawn from a curated medical ontology, rather than an unnamed bin index or a raw measurement triplet. This naming layer is what we ask KBTA to do: it makes the model's per-token attributions resolve to clinical concepts by construction. INTERVenE offers two complementary variants: an auto-regressive decoder that generates future abstraction trajectories with a per-step risk readout (localizing \emph{when} and \emph{after which events} risk rises), and a bidirectional encoder for single-pass joint risk and time-to-event prediction. Evaluated on 57,078 MIMIC-IV admissions against GRU-D, STraTS, and KarmaLego, INTERVenE-Enc reaches a support-weighted AUPRC$_w$ of 0.672, improving by 0.041 over the strongest neural baseline with non-overlapping 95\% bootstrap CIs, while also taking the best AUROC$_w$ (0.901) and length-of-stay MAE (44.4\,h). INTERVenE-Ar (AUROC$_w$ $0.854$, AUPRC$_w$ $0.587$ under the same evaluation contract - a strictly harder generative readout) provides a complementary token-level risk trajectory. An input-representation ablation confirms the lift transfers across structured discretizations, positioning KBTA-based intervals as the interpretable substrate that makes per-token attributions resolve to meaningful clinical concepts within the deployed model.
Transformers rely on position embedding mechanisms in long context modeling in most cases. Rotary Position Embedding (RoPE) embeds positional information with independent 2D rotations, forming relative position terms in self-attention. However, its pairwise, block-based, and decoupled structure limits deep mixing and robustness across channels. We propose HD-RoPE, which extends RoPE from independent 2D rotations to higher-dimensional rotations and introduces a Paley-I orthogonal basis to obtain balanced, isotropic, and dense phase mixing within each rotation subspace. This significantly enhances channel coupling and rotational degrees of freedom while maintaining orthogonal stability and the relative position closure property. Furthermore, HD-RoPE is easily optimized for engineering efficiency without introducing additional trainable parameters. We have conducted extensive evaluation results demonstrating that HD-RoPE achieves significant performance improvements over standard RoPE across various popular benchmarks and in both long and short contexts.
Yixing Li, Ruobing Xie, Yudong Zhang et al.· 0 citations
Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise for spatio-temporal forecasting, but existing approaches often rely on regularly sampled token sequences and struggle with irregular observations because of temporal asynchrony, representation-space misalignment, and limited context windows. We propose LLMODE, a token-efficient framework for irregular spatio-temporal forecasting with a frozen LLM backbone. LLMODE first uses a graph-aware ODE encoder to reconstruct irregular graph observations as a continuous-time latent trajectory. A Fixed-Budget Perceiver Resampler then compresses this variable-length trajectory into a fixed number of dynamic memory tokens. In parallel, compact statistical descriptors are encoded and resampled into context memory tokens. A dual-source gated cross-attention module injects both memories into the frozen LLM, enabling controlled utilization of external spatio-temporal evidence. Experiments on three real-world urban datasets and two physical-dynamics benchmarks show competitive overall performance, with clearer advantages under sparse or dynamically complex irregular sampling. Additional evaluations on unseen urban regions further demonstrate strong zero-shot generalization without adaptation.
Di Zhang, Jingyang Zhang, Ziqian Wang et al.· 0 citations
Machine learning is usually evaluated after an evidence interface has been fixed. A dataset, sensor suite, query language, action set, or experimental protocol determines which observations can be obtained, and learning is judged by what it extracts from them. We study a complementary capability. A learner's state can determine which evidence-generating experiments it can reliably realise under bounded resources, even when primitive affordances remain fixed. We call this learner-relative experiment family its effective epistemic reach, and use Wide Learning for task-relevant learning-induced changes in that family.We formalise effective reach relative to learner state, deployment budget, reliability threshold, and evaluation distribution. In a controlled construction, two hidden worlds have exactly the same public observation law. An informative diagnostic exists in a fixed five-primitive substrate. Before calibration, one address attempt realises it with probability at most $2^{-10} = 1/1024$, below a pre-specified 0.95 threshold; after calibration, held-out realisation is 1. Public-channel total variation is 0, whereas the realised diagnostic has total variation 1, and sealed binary risk moves from approximately 1/2 to 0. The construction establishes that learning can change effective epistemic reach even when primitive affordances and deployment resources are held fixed. It opens a complementary evaluation question for learning systems: not only what they infer from available evidence, but what informative evidence experience teaches them to bring within reach.
Junzhou Chen· 0 citations
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School coaches prepare for opponents with game film and intuition. The analytics tools of professional teams stay out of reach. We ask how far public data can close this gap. Professional basketball is our case study, chosen for its data rather than the league. We fuse five public sources into one per-shot dataset of 4.23M shots over 21 seasons. The sources are shot locations, two play-by-play feeds, official matchup tracking, and player biometrics. Alignment across them is 99.5% to 100%. We also report two data pitfalls that are easy to miss. We then model a half-court possession as a sequential game. Shot values come from ShotNet, an embedding multilayer perceptron (MLP). On a held-out season it beats a zone-rate baseline and a logistic baseline, and its probabilities are well calibrated. A depth-limited expectimax search then solves the offensive decision tree, with branch-and-bound pruning to keep it real time. All training runs offline, so the online system stays light. A scouting planner and a playable simulator both run in a single browser page.
Machine unlearning enables deep neural networks to selectively remove the influence of specific data in response to privacy and regulatory requirements. While prior work largely studies single-shot unlearning, real-world systems must accommodate continual unlearning, where multiple unlearning requests occur sequentially over time. In this work, we identify a fundamental limitation of this setting: plasticity collapse, a progressive breakdown in a model's ability to effectively forget. Through theoretical analysis of continual unlearning dynamics, we show that continual unlearning operations accumulate geometric constraints in parameter space, leading to saturated subspaces that restrict future updates. This structural effect induces two distinct failure modes: (1) Forward failure -- diminishing forgetting quality for subsequent tasks, and (2) Backward failure -- spontaneous re-memorization of previously forgotten information. Extensive experiments across multiple architectures, datasets, and methods in image classification confirm that plasticity collapse is not an artifact of specific implementations, but a pervasive phenomenon inherent to continual unlearning. Our findings reveal a critical barrier to the long-term reliability of machine unlearning systems and motivate the development of plasticity-preserving unlearning algorithms. Our code is available at https://github.com/TIML-Group/Continual-Machine-Unlearning-Plasticity-Collapse
Yingdan Shi, Xiang Xu, Kaize Ding et al.· 0 citations
Diffusion models are increasingly used not only for sampling from learned data distributions, but also for generating samples that optimize task-specific objectives. A common approach is to guide the reverse diffusion process using gradients of an external objective. However, when the data distribution is supported on a structured feasible set, such as a manifold or a constraint set, gradient guidance can move samples away from the learned data geometry. In this paper, we study a simple projected-gradient-guided diffusion update based on the observation that the Stein denoising operator can act as an approximate projection onto the data geometry. The proposed update incorporates the objective gradient inside the denoising step, yielding an inference-time method that uses only a pretrained denoiser and gradient evaluations. We analyze this update as an inexact projected-gradient method for constrained optimization over learned feasible geometries. Our theory covers three settings: linear manifolds, compact convex feasible sets, and compact Riemannian submanifolds. In all these settings, we prove descent and finite-time convergence guarantees. Numerical experiments support the theoretical interpretation and illustrate how the proposed update balances objective descent with preservation of the learned geometry.
Runyu Zhang, Jiawei Zhang, Gioele Zardini et al.· 0 citations
Knowledge distillation trains a small student model to reproduce the outputs of a large teacher model, and its progress is typically monitored through the teacher--student discrepancy. The quantity of ultimate interest, however, is the student's error with respect to the true task. We study the relation between these two objectives in a minimal three-party model, a true teacher (generative model), a teacher, and a student, all soft committee machines, in which the true teacher contains a shared latent factor that the teacher cannot represent, with mismatch strength controlled by a single scalar $\dmiss$. Within an order-parameter description of online distillation, and exploiting closed-form (arcsine-type) expressions for all errors under error-function activations, we prove that the learning dynamics and the distillation error $\Ets$ are exactly invariant to $\dmiss$, whereas the true error $\Etzs$ and the gap $\Delta=\Etzs-\Ets$ are strictly increasing in $\dmiss$, with a rate that is amplified linearly by the complexity $M_0$ of the true teacher. Numerical phase diagrams over the plane spanned by true-teacher complexity and student capacity confirm the predicted deformation: the contours of $\Ets$ do not move while the landscape of $\Etzs$ rises systematically, and a teacher-miss regime, where mimicry succeeds but the task fails, expands with $\dmiss$. The results give a quantitative warning against evaluating distillation solely through teacher-mimicry metrics and identify the gap $\Delta$ as a minimal diagnostic for distinguishing teacher-miss from capacity-limited failure.
Sandbagging, in which a model deliberately underperforms on an evaluation despite retaining the underlying capability, threatens the safety evaluations that frontier-model governance depends on. The Elicitation Game found that fine-tuning elicits hidden capability from sandbagging model organisms whereas additive activation steering fails. We revisit that verdict with reference-grafting, which sets an activation's coordinate along a contrast direction to the value it takes in an honest reference, at a small set of circuits chosen by active learning. Across eleven fine-tuned password-locked models (1.5-32B, three architecture lineages), it recovers +94 to +101% of the honest-sandbagging gap, matching fine-tuning elicitation without weight updates or training labels; two to five paired examples suffice to fit the direction. Similar recovery holds for reinforcement-learning-induced sandbagging and for password-locked code generation. Grafting works because the fine-tuned lock is a thresholded gate: held-out accuracy stays at the sandbagged level until the grafted coordinate crosses a threshold near the honest reference, which is why additive steering and zeroing the coordinate often fail. The direction tracks how the sandbagging was induced rather than what is withheld -- fit on grade-school science (ARC) it elicits withheld hazardous knowledge (WMDP), yet prompting, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning each carry a different direction. Circuit-breaking marks the boundary: it reroutes activations on every forward pass, so the fixed edits we test are re-broken downstream and do not restore coherent generation.
Linh Le, Hong Kiat Tan, David Williams-King· 0 citations
Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) often face ill-conditioned objectives that limit high-accuracy training. Dense quasi-Newton methods improve local conditioning but require expensive optimizer state, while Kronecker-factored methods such as SOAP scale to larger networks but rely on periodic basis updates. We introduce \method, which augments SOAP-style preconditioning with a scalar secant-energy correction adapted to Kronecker geometry and an adaptive basis update followed by variance-state downscaling. We characterize the directional secant matching induced by the scalar correction and give a bound on variance-state mismatch across basis changes. Across eight PDE benchmarks, \method attains the lowest final residual on six, including Burgers and Boussinesq, while SOAP-family baselines perform better on Gray-Scott and Ginzburg-Landau. On Boussinesq, \method reaches a residual of $10^{-5}$ in 4.1 hours with 9.2 GB peak VRAM, while Adam does not reach this target within 14 hours. Three-seed $L^2$ and $H^1$ errors on four representative PDEs support the link between lower residuals and improved solution accuracy. These results position \method as a scalable option for stiff, high-accuracy physics-informed training, rather than a uniform replacement for existing optimizers.
Guangyuan Wang, Mads Toftrup, Sebastian Loeschcke et al.· 0 citations
JEPA world models make latent-space planning a practical route to control, but they are built almost exclusively on images. Whether latent prediction survives geometric observations is unclear: point clouds are sparse, unordered, and self-occluded, and with 0.3-15% of scene points moving, the slow-feature optimum of latent prediction compounds with the geometric shortcut of 3D self-supervision. We lift three canonical JEPA designs to point clouds, frozen-encoder, distribution-prior, and action-sensitive, and re-sense the stable-worldmodel benchmark so that only the observation differs from the image baselines. All three plan without collapse: the distribution-prior model is statistically equivalent to its re-evaluated image counterpart on every benchmark, and the action-sensitive model attains the strongest result in our controlled comparison where the most geometry moves. Probing explains why: object positions are almost perfectly linearly decodable and attention falls on the few moving points. Planning withstands heavy dropout never seen in training, though range noise defeats the thinnest scene. Geometry finally makes a commanded 3D target a natural goal interface: we construct the goal latent from the target and the current latent, at no cost in success rate, without a goal observation.
Fabio F. Oberweger, Michael Schwingshackl· 0 citations
Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over simpler, more interpretable models is rarely subjected to rigorous empirical scrutiny in real-world clinical settings. We present a comprehensive patient timeline pipeline applied to elderly patients in CPRD Aurum, incorporating 260 clinical conditions classified via a three-tier automated framework including specialised detection logic for 17 complex conditions. Using this infrastructure, we benchmark Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (TG-CNN) against Logistic Regression with LASSO regularisation and Random Forests for predicting 12-month all-cause emergency hospitalisation risk, motivated by (but not filtered to) the elevated risk of adverse drug reactions. Under cross-validation, TG-CNN achieves a marginally higher mean AUC-ROC than LASSO (0.712 vs. 0.705), whereas on the held-out test set LASSO achieves the highest discrimination of three models (AUC-ROC 0.733, versus 0.710 for Random Forest and 0.702 for TG-CNN). We show, that discrimination alone is an incomplete criterion for clinical deployment: after Platt calibration, LASSO is the only model with an acceptable calibration slope (0.817), while Random Forest (0.759) and, TG-CNN (0.391) remain substantially miscalibrated. We argue that LASSO, not the highest-discriminating model, is the model best suited to direct clinical deployment. We present lessons for the machine learning and healthcare community regarding data infrastructure, model selection, and value of calibration and interpretability in high-stakes decision support.
Asra Aslam, Volodymyr Chapman, Maurice M. O'Connell et al.· 0 citations
