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3,367 papers

#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Beyond MSE: Rethinking the Evaluation Metric and Benchmarking for Irregular Time Series Forecasting

The Continuous-time Squared Error (CSE) is proposed, which employs importance weighting to eliminate the influence of the timestamp sampling distributions and theoretically proves that CSE's asymptotic estimation error with respect to continuous-time risk is no greater than that of MSE.

Rong Li, Haixin Xie, Xiao Wang et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

Abra: Scaling Diffusion Image Training

This work presents a systematic scaling law study for text-to-image diffusion models using Abra, a controlled family of flow-matching transformers trained across three orders of magnitude worth of compute, demonstrating that diffusion models scale just as predictably as language models but require far more data to train optimally.

Kyle R. Chickering, Wei-An Lin, Swayam Bhanded et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting from the Perspective of Basis Functions

Irregular time series forecasting is crucial in many domains, such as healthcare and meteorological observation. However, due to the inherent characteristics of irregular time series, including sparse observations and non-uniform sampling, accurately predicting future dynamics remains challenging. In light of these two characteristics, many existing methods aggregate irregular observations into fixed-dimensional estimated response coefficients through predefined basis functions and use these coefficients as sequence representations. Nevertheless, this modeling paradigm still suffers from two key limitations: (i) a potential non-vanishing asymptotic bias caused by ignoring the sampling density of timestamps; and (ii) the limited adaptability of predefined basis functions to diverse temporal patterns. In this study, we propose a Debiased Neural Basis-Function Network (DNBNet) to address these challenges. Its core is a debiased neural basis-function response mechanism, which corrects asymptotic bias through importance sampling while parameterizing basis functions with neural networks to adapt to diverse temporal patterns. In addition, considering the sparsity of irregular data, we design a novel multi-scale decomposition module based on average pooling, together with a mass-aware fusion mechanism, to obtain richer representations. Finally, a dual-branch decoder is employed for forecasting. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of DNBNet and its strong generalizability across diverse irregular time series scenarios. Our code can be obtained at https://github.com/hnu-vis/DNBNet.

Rong Li, Changjian Chen · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Understanding Curriculum Learning in Large Language Models via Cross-Difficulty Optimization Dynamics

It is shown that the transfer relationship between different difficulty levels characterizes the optimization dynamics induced by curriculum learning, which in turn explains the effectiveness of different curriculum schedules, and formalize this relationship as Relative Transfer, a principled measure of cross-difficulty knowledge transfer.

Zhikai Ding, Ziyi Ye · 0 citations
#machine learning Open access Oct 2020

Physics-Informed and Hybrid Machine Learning in Additive Manufacturing: Application to Fused Filament Fabrication

This article investigates several physics-informed and hybrid machine learning strategies that incorporate physics knowledge in experimental data-driven deep-learning models for predicting the bond quality and porosity of fused filament fabrication (FFF) parts. Three types of strategies are explored to incorporate physics constraints and multi-physics FFF simulation results into a deep neural network (DNN), thus ensuring consistency with physical laws: (1) incorporate physics constraints within the loss function of the DNN, (2) use physics model outputs as additional inputs to the DNN model, and (3) pre-train a DNN model with physics model input-output and then update it with experimental data. These strategies help to enforce a physically consistent relationship between bond quality and tensile strength, thus making porosity predictions physically meaningful. Eight different combinations of the above strategies are investigated. The results show how the combination of multiple strategies produces accurate machine learning models even with limited experimental data.

B. Kapusuzoglu, S. Mahadevan · 79 citations · ⚡2
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Delta2Gamma: Band-Wise Adaptive Contrastive Learning of EEG for Alzheimer's Disease Detection

Delta2Gamma, a self-supervised framework that learns EEG representations from unlabeled data by contrasting augmented views of each signal by decomposing every recording into the five canonical neural rhythms, separates Alzheimer's disease from cognitively normal controls with 92.4\% accuracy.

Chanwoo Park, Chanwoo Kim · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

How smoothing the affinity matrix affects neighborhood preservation in t-SNE

It is found that sharpening improves preservation of the very nearest neighbors, while smoothing improves preservation of broader local neighborhoods, outperforming alternative affinity constructions including multiscale methods in the mid-local range.

Shirin Mohebi, Guillaume Bied, Jefrey Lijffijt · 0 citations
#machine learning Review Aug 2026

Reinforcement Learning as (Discrete) Potential Theory

This paper explores the potential-theoretic viewpoint for core reinforcement learning representations and algorithms under a fixed-policy assumption and may offer a path for improved sample efficiency and formal constraints that can be applied to RL.

Christopher Connolly · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

Task Specialization Fine-Tuning for Contextual Reinforcement Learning

Task Specialization Fine-Tuning (TSFT), an online framework that predicts fine-tuning performance with a simple parametric model and exactly solves the resulting discrete budget allocation problem via integer linear programming, is proposed.

Jianan Zhou, Jung-Hoon Cho, Tianyue Zhou et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Aug 2026

Population Health-Based Machine Learning Reveals Associations Between Psychosocial Factors and Chronic Kidney Disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progresses silently and severely undermines quality of life, making early detection critical for improving patient outcomes. We present a two-part study that combines large-scale telehealth data with advanced machine learning to both classify self-reported CKD status and identify key drivers of disease. Using selected features from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS 2021: 438,693 samples; BRFSS 2019: 418,268 samples) and the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS 2021: 29,482 samples; NHIS 2020: 31,568 samples), we addressed missing data with nine state-of-the-art imputation methods and mitigated class imbalance via sampling strategies. Our customized stacked ensemble model achieved balanced accuracy of 72.56-76.12%, with corresponding AUROC scores of 79.59-82.29%. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis, followed by clinical review, highlighted critical predictors, including regular medical check-ups, age, blood pressure, and indicators of mental health stress. These findings deliver a robust and interpretable framework for CKD risk stratification and provide actionable insights into its associated factors.

Md. Atik Shams, David Eisenberg, Sumaiya Fatema et al. · 0 citations

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MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Aug 27, 2026

Looking beyond natural sequences

A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.

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