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3,367 papers

#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

MultiSigBERT: Beyond Survival Analysis through Multimodal and Sequential Modeling in Oncology

This work proposes MultiSigBERT, a unified framework for multimodal sequential survival modeling in oncology based on path signature representations that achieves a concordance index of 0.743 on an independent test set, demonstrating the benefit of jointly modeling multimodal temporal dynamics together with patient-level geometric structure for survival prediction.

Paul Minchella, Stéphane Chrétien, Guillaume Metzler et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

RoBell-RVFL: A Robust Generalized Bell Random Vector Functional Link Network

RoBell-RVFL is proposed, a robust and lightweight generalized bell random vector functional link network that redefines how randomized models handle class imbalance and noisy data and achieves adaptive control over sample contributions without sacrificing the closed-form learning efficiency of RVFL networks.

A. Rahaman, A. Quadir, M. Tanveer · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Aug 2026

Study-Strategy Clusters from EdNet Logs Track Engagement, Not Mastery

Learning analytics often treats unsupervised clusters of intelligent tutoring system (ITS) logs as learner types that should predict learning. We test that assumption on EdNet-KT3. Clustering study-strategy features (resource use, revision, video, problem practice) for 5{,}000 active learners yields a silhouette-selected parent cut ($k=5$) with 4 contrast poles (reading-focused, video-heavy, revision-heavy, and problem-first) plus a large near-mean residual ($\sim$64.9\%). Reclustering that residual adds four finer styles, giving a bootstrap-stable hierarchy of 8 named strategies. We split each learner's timeline by respond count so clusters use only the early half and outcomes only the late half. Early clusters predict later engagement (continuing to practice and finishing late sessions, especially persistence, $\eta^{2}\approx 0.106$; completion $\eta^{2}\approx 0.021$) but not later unassisted accuracy (correctness on late first-attempts without help; $p_{\mathrm{adj}}\approx 0.093$). Volume rises with some styles, yet volume-only clustering barely matches strategy labels (ARI$=0.064$). A knowledge-tracing model (SAKT) on the seven TOEIC exam sections predicts next correctness only modestly better than a baseline that knows only how hard each section usually is (AUC lift $+0.051$; CI $[+0.045,+0.058]$), and that mastery signal is nearly independent of behavior styles (ARI$=0.007$). Behavioral clustering here describes study styles and engagement, not knowledge gains.

Qingchuan Lyu, Yingxin Li, Albert Yang · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

DOW-KE: Anchor-Free Multi-Layer Knowledge Editing via Direct End-to-End Weight Optimization

DOW-KE backpropagates the final editing objective through the complete model, jointly optimizing the updates of all edited layers so cross-layer propagation and coupling enter every gradient step, and achieves the highest overall Score and neighborhood Specificity among the evaluated baselines.

Ran Chen, Junbo Zhang, Qianli Zhou et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

SW-ProxyCE: Zero-Query Adversarial Transfer from Public EEG Encoders to Private Downstream Models

Shrinkage-Whitened Proxy Cross-Entropy (SW-ProxyCE), a query-free task-aware attack framework that recovers task-level decision geometry from a small labeled reference set through shrinkage-whitened class prototypes, enabling transferable adversarial generation without training an additional surrogate classifier is proposed.

Linhua Cong, Dingkun Liu, Dongrui Wu · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Aug 2026

EMAN: Optimization-Driven Capacity Growth through Path Emergence in Multi-Task Learning

The Emergent Modular Atomic Network (EMAN), an optimization-driven framework for exposing an antisymmetric growth direction through latent relative phases without instantiating a second path, and for monitoring multiple decision signals during training to transform local optimization evidence into a structural decision is proposed.

Chen Fang, Jingchen Li, Hong-Zong Li et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

Mr.Dec: Daily-Scale Longitudinal Multimodal Modeling for 30-Day Readmission Prediction

Predicting 30-day hospital readmission is essential for assessing patient stability and optimizing healthcare resources. As clinical risk evolves with the accumulation of evidence during hospitalization, capturing these dynamic trajectories is essential. However, many existing approaches compress the complex longitudinal history into fixed representations, often losing the granular, day-level clinical signals that reflect a patient's evolving physiological state. To address this, we propose Mr.Dec (Multimodal Readmission-risk prediction Decoder), which models each admission as a natural chronological sequence of daily multimodal events. By leveraging a Transformer Decoder, Mr.Dec integrates daily Electronic Health Record(EHR) updates and intermittent Chest X-ray(CXR) findings in a time-aligned stream, reflecting the actual clinical workflow. To ensure robustness, we utilize Disease-Specific Supervised Contrastive Learning as an auxiliary regularization to induce a diagnosis-aware structure in the latent space. Evaluations on the MIMIC-IV and MIMIC-CXR datasets show that Mr.Dec achieves state-of-the-art performance by preserving the integrity of the clinical sequence. Furthermore, our model identifies"Critical Days"within an admission, providing actionable and clinically grounded interpretations for real-time risk stratification. Code is available at: https://github.com/yejix-ai/MR.DEC

Minjun Kim, Jong Hak Moon · 0 citations
#machine learning Review Aug 2026

Benchmarking Classical and Transformer-Based Models for Document Sensitivity Classification

This paper introduces Strategic 16K, a carefully constructed, leakage-controlled corpus of 16,000 diplomatic cables sourced from the WikiLeaks Public Library of US Diplomacy (PlusD), and presents a systematic benchmark evaluating six model architectures spanning classical machine learning and transformer-based approaches, creating the first fully reproducible sensitivity classification benchmark constructed under explicit leakage-controlled conditions from WikiLeaks PlusD.

Aleesha Zainab, Muhammad Ahmed Khalid, Faheem Ullah Khan et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Aug 2026

Detecting and Discriminating Operator Misspecification in Hybrid PDE-Parameter Learning: a Reference-Free Instrument, with Discrimination Bounded In Sample

We build an instrument that reads, from a single fit and with no oracle, whether the operator a hybrid PDE-parameter estimator postulates is wrong-and separates that from a merely unidentifiable parameter. On one self-adjoint parabolic inverse problem, an information-matrix statistic with plug-in scale and per-seed parameter has median 0.19 under correct specification, rejection rate $0.033$ against a pre-registered ceiling of $0.10$, and rises to $224$ and $85$ under two misspecifications, firing in every replicate. On a correctly specified but non-identifiable design it stays mute-$0.050$ at $n=200$, Clopper-Pearson $[0.024, 0.090]$-while a rank statistic collapses to zero at a pre-registered boundary $c_5^*=2.15\times10^{-3}.$ Two readings of one fit therefore separate the two failures across the three designs a deployable test reaches. That separation is the contribution; detection alone is a crowded flank. In sample it is a bound, out of sample a direction. It is needed because the usual accuracy check is blind: the misspecified estimator's in-domain RMSE is $2.7\times 10^{-2}$, below the observation noise for $\sigma\geq 0.05,$ while the coefficient is wrong by $29.7\%$ at zero noise, $31.2\%$ at the loudest. Nor is the failure architectural: a one-parameter curve fit, a bare parameter and multilayer perceptrons of $49$ and $241$ parameters converge to the same pseudo-true, matched in closed form to $0.07\%,$ whereas a physics-informed network, with its composite objective, converges to a disjoint one. We report where the instrument is blind, a pre-registered negative where a neural estimator loses to Tikhonov-regularized inversion at recovery, and the hypothesis under which its guarantee holds but a trained network violates it.

Eric Fock · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Jul 2026

Proactive Road Safety Intervention in Australia: Predicting Risky Driving Hotspots from Connected Vehicle Data

Road safety monitoring has historically been reactive, relying on crash-record analysis after fatalities and injuries have already occurred. Proactive identification of high-risk locations and dangerous driving behaviour before incidents occur is a critical but underexplored challenge. This paper addresses this gap using connected vehicle telemetry data from Greater Sydney, Australia, to detect and forecast near-miss risky driving events at the Local Government Area (LGA) level. Risky driving is quantified through g-force thresholds (hard braking>0.6g, harsh cornering>0.47g, harsh acceleration>0.5g), and spatio-temporal heatmaps are constructed to identify high-risk zones. Eight predictive models are benchmarked across three families: ensemble learning (Random Forests, XGBoost, LightGBM), deep learning (LSTM, N-BEATS), and classical time-series methods (ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing, Prophet). ARIMA achieves the lowest mean absolute error (MAE: 162.21), performing comparably to LSTM (MAE: 163.92) and outperforming all ensemble methods, with N-BEATS reaching an MAE of 180.75. These results demonstrate that parsimonious time-series models are competitive with deep learning approaches when training data volume is limited. The study highlights the potential of IoT-based connected vehicle data to support proactive road safety interventions, with Sydney's inner and western LGAs (CBD, Parramatta, Bankstown) identified as persistent high-risk zones warranting targeted policy action.

Adriana-Simona Mihaita, C. Cheung, A. Grigorev et al. · 0 citations

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MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Aug 27, 2026

Looking beyond natural sequences

A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.

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