Skip to content

Category

machine learning

1,466 papers

#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Explainable Machine Learning for Broadband Adoption Disparities: Tract-Level Prediction and SHAP-Based Factor Profiling

The United States has allocated approximately $65 billion through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act for broadband expansion, yet evidence-based methods for targeting these investments remain underdeveloped. This paper presents an explainable machine learning framework for profiling broadband adoption disparities at census-tract granularity across 83,359 tracts nationwide. Using 65 socioeconomic, demographic, and infrastructure features derived from the American Community Survey 2022, we train a LightGBM model under spatial five-fold cross-validation, achieving R^2 = 0.533 and Spearman rho = 0.763; state-held-out cross-validation (51 folds) confirms generalization (R^2 = 0.525). TreeSHAP analysis identifies income and education as the dominant factor group (with the engineered interaction term absorbing attribution from its constituent features), and SHAP-based clustering reveals three exploratory factor profiles: Well-Connected Moderate (~49K tracts), Affordability-Limited Severe (~21K tracts), and Rural-Elderly (~13K tracts). As a screening tool, ML-based tract selection captures 38.0% of the total adoption gap within the top 10% of tracts versus 35.2% for income-only heuristics (+2.8 pp, p < 0.002, county-block bootstrap); in regret-reduction terms, the model closes 19% of the remaining gap between income-only and oracle selection. The primary contribution is the per-tract factor decomposition: SHAP identifies which feature groups (income/education, rurality, age) are most strongly associated with each tract's predicted gap, and informs differentiated investigation. A temporal stability check, training on ACS 2017 and predicting ACS 2022 with zero survey-year overlap, confirms ranking stability (rho = 0.784, noting hyperparameters tuned on 2022 data).

Xiao Han · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

PathGuide: Dynamic Classifier-Free Guidance via On-Policy Transport Alignment

While modern generative models excel at modeling complex data, precise inference-time control in conditional generation remains a critical challenge. Classifier-free guidance (CFG) is a primary mechanism for such control, yet it is typically treated as a static tuning parameter. In flow-based models, however, the guidance scale fundamentally dictates the velocity field and the resulting probability path, making guidance selection a dynamic path-optimization problem. We introduce PathGuide, a framework that reformulates scalar CFG selection as an on-policy transport problem. Leveraging the weak form of the continuity equation, we derive a selection criterion with a direct path-correctness interpretation: we prove that if the guided field is weakly equivalent to the exact conditional field along the generated rollout, the sampler's path coincides with the target conditional law. For scalar CFG, this criterion yields a strictly quadratic local objective with an efficient, closed-form selector for each solver interval. PathGuide enables optimal guidance scales to be computed and used online during generation or fitted offline as a reusable piecewise-constant schedule. We validate our method on low-resolution image manifolds and controlled settings across various continuous-time flow constructions, demonstrating that this transport-based selector improves path alignment and sample fidelity over both fixed and state-of-the-art adaptive guidance baselines.

Avishag Nevo, Tamir Hazan · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Temperature-Adaptive Transformed Teacher Matching

Temperature scaling is a core component of knowledge distillation, yet its role and effect are still not fully understood. Transformed Teacher Matching (TTM) clarifies the role of temperature scaling by applying it only to the teacher distribution and interpreting the resulting objective as standard distillation with an implicit R\'enyi entropy regularization on the student. However, TTM still relies on a fixed temperature and does not specify how the teacher-side temperature should be adapted for individual samples. In this paper, we introduce a sample-wise inverse-temperature update for TTM by locally minimizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the temperature-scaled teacher distribution and the student's prediction. We derive closed-form first and second derivatives with respect to the inverse temperature, and show that they can be expressed using variance and covariance statistics of centered teacher and student logits under the transformed teacher weighting. This yields an efficient curvature-aware update that requires one softmax evaluation and a constant number of class-wise weighted sums. Experiments on standard image classification distillation benchmarks show that our temperature adaptation generally improves TTM and WTTM, while remaining competitive with or outperforming prior temperature-adaptive distillation baselines.

Hiroaki Aizawa, Yoshikazu Hayashi · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Development of an Autonomous AI Coding Agent using Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) and Gemini LLM Frameworks

The ongoing changes in software engineering requirements have created a substantial need for automated tools which can create secure source code from natural language input. The performance of traditional Large Language Models (LLMs) becomes limited by their "one-shot" capability which results in logical hallucinations together with reduced algorithmic performance during complicated operations. The research presents an autonomous AI Coding Agent which establishes a connection between LLM-generated content and production-ready software through its organized methodology for decision making. Our framework uses the Gemini 2.5 Flash API for essential reasoning capabilities while employing a tailored Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) method to solve code generation challenges as a search operation. The agent uses a "Self-Critic" evaluator system to test different implementation methods which it ranks according to their accuracy and difficulty level before it improves its operational framework through backpropagation. The system operates through a Flask-based web interface which delivers instant feedback together with syntax highlighting features. Our experimental results show that the MCTS-based method achieves a 92% success rate on complex logical prompts while surpassing standard zero-shot generation models.

Pravin Game, Vipin Ramakrishnan, Prathamesh Wagh · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Titans-QFWP: A Regime-Aware Hybrid Quantum Fast Weight Programmer for Portfolio Optimization

We propose Titans-QFWP, a hybrid reinforcement learning architecture integrating a Quantum Fast Weight Programmer with Titans-style memory (Persistence, Surprise, and Forgetting) for adaptive portfolio optimization. To address high-dimensional market features, we introduce an enhanced A3C^2 framework with Hungarian-aligned K-means clustering and scaled log-return rewards. Evaluated on 468 S&P 500 stocks under an Equal-Parameter-Count (EPC) benchmark with approximately 3,000 trainable parameters, Titans-QFWP achieves strong performance (median ARR 0.4260, Calmar 8.5504, IR 0.8427). Ablation results reveal that quantum gating fundamentally reshapes memory component roles, with Persistence supporting drawdown control, Surprise contributing to return generation, and Forgetting providing additional stabilization. By stabilizing these quantum representations, the model enables defensive allocation during market drawdowns while preserving upside potential.

Ming-Kai Hung, Jun-Hao Chen, Yun-Cheng Tsai et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Selective Disclosure of Hidden Directives in Reasoning Models: Behavioral Asymmetry and Steering

Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning traces are increasingly proposed as a mechanism for AI oversight: a monitor inspecting a model's reasoning can, in principle, detect misbehavior invisible from outputs alone. This assumes CoT surfaces what a model is instructed to do regardless of the instructions given. We test this assumption along two axes. First, we introduce the Instruction-Compliance Gap (ICG): the difference in probability that a model's CoT explicitly references a hidden system prompt directive when that directive is malign versus benign. Across 100 task pairs and 8 frontier reasoning models from 5 families, we find consistent asymmetric disclosure, a higher probability of leaking malign hidden instructions than benign ones, in Qwen3-14B (Wilcoxon $p=0.0001$, $+13.9$pp), Qwen3-32B ($p=0.0011$, $+13.0$pp), Qwen3-235B ($p=0.035$, $+5.8$pp), and similar results with MiniMax-M2.5 and DeepSeek-R1. The detector has 100% precision against two independent blinded labelling passes, and an LLM monitor reading only the reasoning trace reproduces the asymmetry in all 8 models against directive-free controls, identifying the specific directive in 82% of malign traces which the detector classifies as clean. Second, steering vectors extracted in MiniMax-M2.5 via Contrastive Activation Addition causally induce hiding from bare prompts and suppress it from prompts that would otherwise produce it, replicating in Qwen3-14B under a pre-registered design. Benign and malign-derived hiding vectors are highly similar (cosine $0.804$ in MiniMax-M2.5; $0.970$ in Qwen3-14B), implying that in these models the disclosure asymmetry arises from differential activation of a shared hiding direction rather than separate mechanisms.

Zimo Shi, Xander Tifft, Wen Xing · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

PathBridger: Subgoal Bridges for Offline Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learning

Offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) aims to learn policies for reaching diverse goals entirely from fixed trajectory data. Long-horizon offline GCRL remains challenging because sparse goal-reaching signals must be propagated over many steps, while execution errors cannot be corrected through additional environment interaction. Existing methods address these challenges by improving long-range value estimation or reducing the effective decision horizon through subgoals, options, and action chunks. In several hierarchical methods, however, a selected subgoal specifies where to go, while the intervening state-space path remains implicit in an endpoint-conditioned low-level policy. To address this interface, we propose PathBridger, a hierarchical offline GCRL method that explicitly connects subgoal selection to short-horizon execution. PathBridger constructs a state-space bridge toward the selected intermediate endpoint and decodes it into a short executable action chunk using an inverse dynamics model. Experiments across the evaluated OGBench tasks demonstrate strong aggregate performance, with particularly large gains on the multi-object Cube manipulation tasks. Code: https://github.com/SChoish/PathBridger

Soohyun Choi, Seonvin Cho, Songnam Hong · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Sparse Koopman Autoencoders Identify Local Dynamical Regimes in Multibasin Systems

Koopman autoencoders (KAEs) seek a higher-dimensional latent representation in which nonlinear dynamics evolve linearly. However, many interesting systems have multiple basins of attraction, and both theoretical and empirical work has shown these multibasin systems cannot generally admit a single finite-dimensional global Koopman embedding under standard assumptions. We posit that encoders with a sparsity-inducing objective encouraging few active latent coefficients will provide latent supports as an inspectable basin-modeling principle for Koopman autoencoders. We use these encoders producing sparse latents in training Sparse Koopman Autoencoders (SKAEs) without basin labels or other regime annotations, and treat the learned latent supports as model-produced regime variables after training. Across a range of procedurally generated multibasin systems and chaotic flows, we show that SKAEs have superior forecasting performance compared to dense-latent KAEs. We also perform a mechanistic study that shows latent supports produced by SKAEs are both essential for the quality of the representation and useful for identifying basins on held-out basin interior states, whereas dense-latent KAEs collapse to an uninformative single family. These results identify sparse latents and their corresponding supports as label-free, interpretable regime variables for Koopman learning in nonlinear systems with multiple local dynamical laws.

Aidan Li, Uday Kiran Reddy Tadipatri, Mahan Fathi et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

NVE: A Separability and Coverage-Aware Internal Validation Metric for Biclustering

Biclustering, or co-clustering, aims to discover coherent submatrices by grouping rows and columns of a data matrix simultaneously. This local two-dimensional structure makes validation more difficult than in ordinary clustering, where internal indices usually rely on compactness and separation in a single shared feature space. Existing popular internal biclustering measures such as Mean Squared Residue (MSR), and Virtual Error (VE) mainly evaluate within-bicluster coherence. Although useful, these measures do not directly assess whether the extracted biclusters are mutually distinct or whether they explain a meaningful portion of the data matrix. This paper investigates Normalised Virtual Error (NVE), an internal validation metric that extends VE using a super-bicluster normalization strategy. By comparing the VE of each bicluster with the VE obtained after merging it with other biclusters, NVE introduces a relative notion of separability and redundancy. We also study a coverage-adjusted variant, NVE\textsubscript{cov}, which penalizes solutions that obtain low error by selecting only very small submatrices. Through controlled synthetic benchmarks and yeast gene-expression datasets, we examine whether NVE and NVE\textsubscript{cov} provide information beyond standard coherence-based metrics. The results show that NVE is sensitive to redundant and poorly separated biclusters, while NVE\textsubscript{cov} changes solution rankings when low-error biclusters cover only a negligible part of the matrix. These findings suggest that NVE-based measures are useful complementary criteria for internal co-clustering validation, especially when coherence, separability, and coverage must be considered jointly.

Paritosh Tiwari, I Navin Kumar, James C. Bezdek et al. · 0 citations
#artificial intelligence Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Flow-JEPA: Flow Matching for Robust Latent Dynamics in JEPA World Models

Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) have shown strong potential for learning compact predictive representations, and LeWorldModel (LeWM) extends this paradigm to reconstruction-free latent world modeling from pixels. However, its deterministic autoregressive predictor generates future states through repeated one-step transitions, which can accumulate errors and remain sensitive to task-irrelevant visual perturbations. In this work, we propose Flow-JEPA (F-JEPA), a conditional flow matching dynamics model that jointly generates a sequence of future latent states conditioned on the current observation and actions. A Gaussian distribution serves as the flow source, exposing the vector field to perturbed latent trajectories as it learns to transport them toward clean future representations. This formulation retains the reconstruction-free JEPA framework while replacing point-wise transition regression with stochastic trajectory-level prediction. F-JEPA raises mean success from $86\%$ to $92\%$ under clean observations and from $67\%$ to $86\%$ under noisy conditions, suggesting that conditional flow matching provides a promising alternative to deterministic autoregressive dynamics in JEPA world models.

Yanchen Huo, Ziying Song, Yadan Luo · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Hybrid Semantic Context-Enhanced Ensemble Learning for Wind Power Ramp-Event Forecasting and Uncertainty-Aware Evaluation

Wind power ramp events which are sudden, large swings in turbine output over short windows are difficult to estimate, and standard models often miss them. Hybrid forecasting approach is built which augments semantic context to ramp-event forecast. Rather than applying an extensive language model directly to predict turbine operating data, we have implemented a pipeline where turbine operating data is converted to simplified text, which is then converted to dense embeddings to be used as inputs for ensemble models incorporated with other features. Testing runs are performed at multiple intervals within the SDWPF dataset, including 10-minute, 30-minute, and 60- minute horizons, with ramp events constituting the highest change in future power output. We check robustness against autoregressive, LSTM, and GRU baselines plus several ensemble configurations, using Diebold-Mariano tests and bootstrap confidence intervals, and we vary the ramp threshold, compress the embeddings with PCA, and validate externally on Kaggle SCADA and NREL data with uncertainty-aware scoring. The semantic-context features produce negligible yet statistically significant gains over the baselines in multiple paired ensemble runs, most clearly at the 30- and 60-minute horizons where these gains hold across different ramp-threshold definitions, and PCA compression helps in some longer-horizon cases. The best context- augmented ensembles rank near the top overall, though the GRU model still posts the lowest ramp-event RMSE at 30 and 60 minutes. External tests confirm the error reduction generalizes across datasets, but the size of the gain depends on both model and dataset. Prediction intervals cover most test cases well but weaken during ramp events, pointing to a localized shift in the data distribution.

Momina Liaqat Ali, Muhammad Abid, Muhammad Abdullah et al. · 0 citations
#machine learning Preprint Open access Sep 2026

Context-Aware Interpretable Representations for Retrieval and Graph Convolutional Network Classification

The advances in visual information modeling and representation during the last decades are remarkable, mainly supported by Convolutional Neural Networks, Transformer-based, and Foundation Models. Despite this progress, critical challenges regarding the nature of similarity assessment and model transparency have been neglected. A primary concern is the Geometric Gap, where traditional pairwise measures fail to capture the intrinsic geometry of the dataset manifold. Furthermore, the Interpretability Gap persists, as representations often lack alignment with human cognition. Therefore, how to provide interpretability to representations while maintaining low dimensionality and high effectiveness in downstream tasks remains an open challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel unsupervised framework that integrates Manifold Learning strategies with Rank-based Interpretable Graph Embeddings. Our approach effectively bridges these gaps by first characterizing the contextual information of the dataset through manifold analysis and subsequently generating sparse, self-explainable embeddings. The proposed approach employs a flexible formulation, allowing different Manifold Learning and Representation Learning strategies. Extensive experimental evaluation across diverse datasets and features demonstrates that our Context-Aware representations not only provide intrinsic interpretability and dimensionality reduction but also maintain or enhance effectiveness in downstream tasks, specifically in image retrieval and semi-supervised classification using Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs).

Thiago C\'esar Castilho Almeida, Gustavo Rosseto Let\'icio, Vinicius Atsushi Sato Kawai et al. · 0 citations

From tech blogs

See all →
MIT News · Artificial Intelligence Aug 27, 2026

Looking beyond natural sequences

A new machine-learning framework aims to improve the success rate of computational protein design while moving away from results that reproduce sequences found in nature.