Resist, Update, Reject: Preference Optimization Installs a Prior-Dependent Reliability Switch

Abstract

An aligned model asked to hold its answer against a manipulative source must still update on a reliable one and reject an unreliable one: resistance, reliable-update, and unreliable-source rejection are one three-way contract, not three independent behaviors. We show the objective most anti-sycophancy work optimizes is non-identifying with respect to source reliability: because no preference label depends on whether a source is actually reliable, any scalar mixture of the arms traces a single deference dial, and no point separates two same-template testimonies differing only in stated reliability. This fixation$\leftrightarrow$gullibility frontier is a property of the objective, not any model. We make reliability identifiable through data: a threshold benchmark where a source asserts the opposite answer while stating its reliability $r$, and the correct action is to flip iff $r$ exceeds the model's prior strength $p$. Preference optimization over balanced coverage installs a prior-dependent reliability switch: across three seeds on Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct the threshold $r^\star$ rises monotonically with the prior, decision accuracy reaches $0.84$ with a monotone flip curve (Spearman $0.56$), and the policy generalizes to unseen reliability values and a held-out notation, following stated reliability over role prestige. Three controls localize the cause: an unmatched variant installs the switch equally ($0.80$), a second preference optimizer (IPO) installs it just as well ($0.86$), whereas supervised imitation does not ($0.50$), so the cause is preference optimization over reliability-labeled coverage, not pairing, loss, or imitation. A confirmatory battery replicates the switch on a fresh test draw, bounds it honestly (it keys on reliability stated in the testimony, not a separately audited record), and transfers it to Llama-3.1-8B. The frontier is empirical, not a theorem.